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Tevragh-Zeina vs Nzeidane - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Erchid A.
15' Event
Demba C.
29' Event
El Hacen S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Tevragh-Zeina
30%
Draws
43%
Nzeidane
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nzeidane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Nzeidane have won more games recently than Tevragh-Zeina.
  • Model gives Nzeidane a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Tevragh-Zeina Clean Sheet 23%
Nzeidane Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tevragh-Zeina Nzeidane
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 12 8
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Ligue 1
Nzeidane vs Tevragh-Zeina
4:1
Dec 26, 2025 Ligue 1
Tevragh-Zeina vs Nzeidane
2:2
May 21, 2025 Ligue 1
Nzeidane vs Tevragh-Zeina
2:1
Jan 14, 2025 Ligue 1
Tevragh-Zeina vs Nzeidane
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tevragh-Zeina Compare

Top Goalscorer Demba C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Hacen S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Nzeidane Compare

Top Goalscorer Erchid A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ekbad M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tevragh-Zeina 16 / 100
Nzeidane 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tevragh-Zeina Nzeidane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nzeidane Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Tevragh-Zeina's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Nzeidane has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Tevragh-Zeina remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tevragh-Zeina VS Nzeidane
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tevragh-Zeina

(Home)
24 May
Ksar
1 : 3
Tevragh-Zeina
20 May
Tevragh-Zeina
0 : 2
SNIM
10 May
Nzeidane
4 : 1
Tevragh-Zeina
05 May
Tevragh-Zeina
1 : 1
Pompiers
29 Apr
Kaedi
2 : 4
Tevragh-Zeina
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Nzeidane

(Away)
25 May
Nzeidane
3 : 0
Douane
19 May
Ksar
2 : 3
Nzeidane
10 May
Nzeidane
4 : 1
Tevragh-Zeina
03 May
Nzeidane
1 : 1
Gendrim
29 Apr
Nzeidane
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)