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TF Exponential FC vs Northern City

Ghana Ghana

Division One League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Northern City in this Division One League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Northern City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
TF Exponential FC
28%
Draws
50%
Northern City
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Northern City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Northern City have won more games recently than TF Exponential FC.
  • Model gives Northern City a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Northern City have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
TF Exponential FC Clean Sheet 11%
Northern City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TF Exponential FC Northern City
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Division One League
TF Exponential FC vs Northern City
3:2
Jan 10, 2026 Division One League
Northern City vs TF Exponential FC
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 Division One League
TF Exponential FC vs Northern City
0:1
Sep 26, 2025 Division One League
Northern City vs TF Exponential FC
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TF Exponential FC 22 / 100
Northern City 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TF Exponential FC Northern City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Northern City conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Recent resilience: TF Exponential FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

TF Exponential FC scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

TF Exponential FC VS Northern City
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

TF Exponential FC

(Home)
02 May
Sankara Nationals FC
2 : 0
TF Exponential FC
25 Apr
TF Exponential FC
1 : 0
Yapei
12 Apr
Wa Power
2 : 3
TF Exponential FC
05 Apr
TF Exponential FC
2 : 1
Real Tamale
29 Mar
Bolga AllStars
6 : 1
TF Exponential FC
Page 1 of 6

Northern City

(Away)
02 May
Northern City
2 : 1
Tamale City
25 Apr
Real Tamale
2 : 3
Northern City
11 Apr
Northern City
3 : 2
Sankara Nationals FC
05 Apr
Bolga AllStars
3 : 3
Northern City
28 Mar
Northern City
3 : 2
Yapei
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ashanti30204647:2264
2Ebusua301410638:2352
3Nsuopun Fidelity FC301631141:2851
4Sefwi All Stars301521330:3347
5Pac Academy30129933:2845
6Rospak301281042:3344
7Future Stars301271134:3643
8King Faisal301171233:3340
9Skyy301161339:3239
10Ebony FC30912925:2939
11Soccer Intellectuals301081223:3038
12New Edubiase30813928:2837
13Elmina Sharks301071330:3337
14Police National301051525:3235
15Eleven30781519:4629
16UCC Youngsters30651931:5223
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division One League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division One League (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Port City30198346:1765
2Semper FI FC30177645:2258
3Attram de Visser30166845:2354
4WAFA301281033:3344
5True Democracy301191034:2942
6Home Stars301012824:2142
7Great Olympics301181130:3241
8Hakla SC301091136:3539
9Nania30912921:2439
10International Allies301081238:3838
11Golden Kick301081228:3438
12Okwawu United301081233:4138
13Accra Lions309101134:3437
14Golden Warriors30971438:4334
15Na God30971437:4534
16Great Ambitions30252316:6711
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division One League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division One League (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tamale City281510339:2455
2Real Tamale28138738:2147
3Wa Power281261034:3142
4Sankara Nationals FC28910931:3537
5Yapei281051334:3535
6Bolga AllStars28971240:4534
7Northern City28951442:4432
8TF Exponential FC28751624:4726
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division One League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division One League (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Debibi United28193653:1960
2VC Warriors28137843:2846
3KAC Soccer281351039:3144
4Dormaa Unity281411357:5143
5Mighty Royals281341147:4543
6Techiman Liberty28118939:3941
7Berekum Arsenal28841642:5728
8Legon Cities28422226:7614
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division One League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division One League (Relegation - Play Offs)