Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TF Exponential FC vs Northern City

Ghana Ghana

Division One League 2025/2026
TF Exponential FC Logo

TF Exponential FC

3 - 2
FT
Northern City Logo

Northern City

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division One League 2025/2026 game between TF Exponential FC and Northern City finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TF Exponential FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
TF Exponential FC
20%
Draws
38%
Northern City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TF Exponential FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Northern City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Division One League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Northern City here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
TF Exponential FC Clean Sheet 10%
Northern City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TF Exponential FC Northern City
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.86 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Division One League
TF Exponential FC vs Northern City
3:2
Jan 10, 2026 Division One League
Northern City vs TF Exponential FC
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 Division One League
TF Exponential FC vs Northern City
0:1
Sep 26, 2025 Division One League
Northern City vs TF Exponential FC
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TF Exponential FC 30 / 100
Northern City 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TF Exponential FC Northern City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Northern City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Northern City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

TF Exponential FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

TF Exponential FC found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

TF Exponential FC VS Northern City
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

TF Exponential FC

(Home)
02 May
Sankara Nationals FC
2 : 0
TF Exponential FC
25 Apr
TF Exponential FC
1 : 0
Yapei
12 Apr
Wa Power
2 : 3
TF Exponential FC
05 Apr
TF Exponential FC
2 : 1
Real Tamale
29 Mar
Bolga AllStars
6 : 1
TF Exponential FC
Page 1 of 6

Northern City

(Away)
03 Oct
Kalibi SC
0 : 0
Northern City
25 Sept
Northern City
1 : 1
Berekum City
19 Sept
Tamale City
1 : 0
Northern City
02 May
Northern City
2 : 1
Tamale City
25 Apr
Real Tamale
2 : 3
Northern City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ashanti 30 20 4 6 47:22 64
2 Ebusua 30 14 10 6 38:23 52
3 Nsuopun Fidelity FC 30 16 3 11 41:28 51
4 Sefwi All Stars 30 15 2 13 30:33 47
5 Pac Academy 30 12 9 9 33:28 45
6 Rospak 30 12 8 10 42:33 44
7 Future Stars 30 12 7 11 34:36 43
8 King Faisal 30 11 7 12 33:33 40
9 Skyy 30 11 6 13 39:32 39
10 Ebony FC 30 9 12 9 25:29 39
11 Soccer Intellectuals 30 10 8 12 23:30 38
12 New Edubiase 30 8 13 9 28:28 37
13 Elmina Sharks 30 10 7 13 30:33 37
14 Police National 30 10 5 15 25:32 35
15 Eleven 30 7 8 15 19:46 29
16 UCC Youngsters 30 6 5 19 31:52 23
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Division One League 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division One League 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Port City 30 19 8 3 46:17 65
2 Semper FI FC 30 17 7 6 45:22 58
3 Attram de Visser 30 16 6 8 45:23 54
4 WAFA 30 12 8 10 33:33 44
5 True Democracy 30 11 9 10 34:29 42
6 Home Stars 30 10 12 8 24:21 42
7 Great Olympics 30 11 8 11 30:32 41
8 Hakla SC 30 10 9 11 36:35 39
9 Nania 30 9 12 9 21:24 39
10 International Allies 30 10 8 12 38:38 38
11 Golden Kick 30 10 8 12 28:34 38
12 Okwawu United 30 10 8 12 33:41 38
13 Accra Lions 30 9 10 11 34:34 37
14 Golden Warriors 30 9 7 14 38:43 34
15 Na God 30 9 7 14 37:45 34
16 Great Ambitions 30 2 5 23 16:67 11
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Division One League 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division One League 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tamale City 28 15 10 3 39:24 55
2 Real Tamale 28 13 8 7 38:21 47
3 Wa Power 28 12 6 10 34:31 42
4 Sankara Nationals FC 28 9 10 9 31:35 37
5 Yapei 28 10 5 13 34:35 35
6 Bolga AllStars 28 9 7 12 40:45 34
7 Northern City 28 9 5 14 42:44 32
8 TF Exponential FC 28 7 5 16 24:47 26
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Division One League 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division One League 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Debibi United 28 19 3 6 53:19 60
2 VC Warriors 28 13 7 8 43:28 46
3 KAC Soccer 28 13 5 10 39:31 44
4 Dormaa Unity 28 14 1 13 57:51 43
5 Mighty Royals 28 13 4 11 47:45 43
6 Techiman Liberty 28 11 8 9 39:39 41
7 Berekum Arsenal 28 8 4 16 42:57 28
8 Legon Cities 28 4 2 22 26:76 14
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Division One League 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division One League 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)