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TFC Academy vs Cincinnati Dutch Lions

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TFC Academy in this USL Premier Development League 2016 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored TFC Academy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
TFC Academy
30%
Draws
47%
Cincinnati Dutch Lions
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cincinnati Dutch Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • TFC Academy haven't matched Cincinnati Dutch Lions's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cincinnati Dutch Lions a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
TFC Academy Clean Sheet 20%
Cincinnati Dutch Lions Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TFC Academy Cincinnati Dutch Lions
Matches Played 30 18
Wins 5 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 1.17 1.56
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2016 USL League Two
TFC Academy vs Cincinnati Dutch Lions
3:2
May 26, 2016 USL League Two
Cincinnati Dutch Lions vs TFC Academy
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TFC Academy 10 / 100
Cincinnati Dutch Lions 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TFC Academy Cincinnati Dutch Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

TFC Academy found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Cincinnati Dutch Lions let in goals in 72% of their last 18 matches.

Solid form: TFC Academy remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cincinnati Dutch Lions
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

TFC Academy

(Home)
15 Jul
TFC Academy
4 : 1
Dayton
12 Jul
TFC Academy
0 : 3
Flint City
06 Jul
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC
3 : 1
TFC Academy
26 Jun
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
2 : 0
TFC Academy
25 Jun
Dayton
2 : 2
TFC Academy
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Cincinnati Dutch Lions

(Away)
13 Jul
West Virginia
2 : 2
Cincinnati Dutch Lions
06 Jul
Chicago United
1 : 1
Cincinnati Dutch Lions
30 Jun
Cincinnati Dutch Lions
3 : 1
Flint City
28 Jun
Dayton
2 : 0
Cincinnati Dutch Lions
26 Jun
Chicago United
1 : 2
Cincinnati Dutch Lions
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