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TFC Academy vs Kitchener-Waterloo United FC

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2015
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AI Match Summary

Kitchener-Waterloo United FC in this USL Premier Development League 2015 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kitchener-Waterloo United FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
TFC Academy
15%
Draws
51%
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kitchener-Waterloo United FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Kitchener-Waterloo United FC have won more games recently than TFC Academy.
  • Model gives Kitchener-Waterloo United FC a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL Premier Development League 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kitchener-Waterloo United FC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
TFC Academy Clean Sheet 20%
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TFC Academy Kitchener-Waterloo United FC
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 5 28
Draws 7 4
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.17 2.22
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2016 USL League Two
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC vs TFC Academy
3:1
Jun 15, 2016 USL League Two
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC vs TFC Academy
2:1
May 17, 2016 USL League Two
TFC Academy vs Kitchener-Waterloo United FC
0:7
Jul 14, 2015 USL League Two
TFC Academy vs Kitchener-Waterloo United FC
2:3
Jul 4, 2015 USL League Two
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC vs TFC Academy
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TFC Academy 10 / 100
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TFC Academy Kitchener-Waterloo United FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kitchener-Waterloo United FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

TFC Academy found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Kitchener-Waterloo United FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 41 matches.

Away concern: Kitchener-Waterloo United FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

TFC Academy VS Kitchener-Waterloo United FC
2 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TFC Academy

(Home)
15 Jul
TFC Academy
4 : 1
Dayton
12 Jul
TFC Academy
0 : 3
Flint City
06 Jul
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC
3 : 1
TFC Academy
26 Jun
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
2 : 0
TFC Academy
25 Jun
Dayton
2 : 2
TFC Academy
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Kitchener-Waterloo United FC

(Away)
21 Jul
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC
0 : 2
Thunder Bay Chill
12 Jul
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC
2 : 1
Dayton
05 Jul
Flint City
3 : 2
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC
02 Jul
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC
0 : 1
Flint City
28 Jun
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC
4 : 0
West Virginia
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