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Thackley vs Northwich Victoria

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Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Green G.
53' Event
60' Event

AI Match Summary

Thackley in this Club Friendly 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thackley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Thackley
15%
Draws
49%
Northwich Victoria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Northwich Victoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Northwich Victoria have won more games recently than Thackley.
  • Northwich Victoria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Thackley Clean Sheet 10%
Northwich Victoria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thackley Northwich Victoria
Matches Played 17 30
Wins 3 10
Draws 1 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.18 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.88 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Thackley vs Northwich Victoria
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thackley Compare

Top Goalscorer Green G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Claridge D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Northwich Victoria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thackley 10 / 100
Northwich Victoria 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thackley Northwich Victoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Northwich Victoria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Thackley scored in 71% of their last 17 games.

Northwich Victoria has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Northwich Victoria lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thackley VS Northwich Victoria
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thackley

(Home)
31 Aug
Warrington Rylands
4 : 0
Thackley
22 Jul
Thackley
3 : 2
Northwich Victoria
18 Jul
Thackley
1 : 6
Guiseley
08 Jul
Bradford PA
3 : 1
Thackley
04 Jul
Steeton
4 : 1
Thackley
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Northwich Victoria

(Away)
05 Sept
Northwich Victoria
2 : 3
Atherton Collieries
19 Jul
Witton Albion
1 : 1
Northwich Victoria
22 Jul
Thackley
3 : 2
Northwich Victoria
20 Jul
Northwich Victoria
1 : 5
Chester
29 Aug
Northwich Victoria
2 : 0
Atherton Collieries
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