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Thai Navy vs Phrae United

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Rodrigo Maranho
70' Event
Rodrigo Maranho
76' Event
Santos C.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 2 2021/2022 game between Thai Navy and Phrae United finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Phrae United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Thai Navy
17%
Draws
70%
Phrae United
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Phrae United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Phrae United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Phrae United taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Phrae United have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Thai Navy Clean Sheet 20%
Phrae United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thai Navy Phrae United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 7
Draws 4 12
Losses 24 11
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2022 Thai League 2
Thai Navy vs Phrae United
1:3
Sep 5, 2021 Thai League 2
Phrae United vs Thai Navy
4:0
Mar 10, 2021 Thai League 2
Phrae United vs Thai Navy
1:1
Oct 31, 2020 Thai League 2
Thai Navy vs Phrae United
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thai Navy Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Phrae United Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigo Maranho
2 Goals
Assists Leader Thongkot S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thai Navy 16 / 100
Phrae United 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thai Navy Phrae United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PHR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Phrae United let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Thai Navy scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Phrae United has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Phrae United
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lamphun Warrior34228466:3074
2Sukhothai34227578:4473
3Trat FC34208655:3368
4Lampang F.C.341512767:3857
5Chainat Hornbill341512758:4657
6Phrae United341412851:3554
7Muangkan Utd3414101070:6252
8Udon Thani341381353:5847
9Rayong FC341371445:4146
10Nakhon Pathom3410121242:4742
11Ayutthaya United3410111340:5041
12Ranong3410111335:4541
13Kasetsart349121332:4739
14Chiangmai FC341081639:5538
15Customs Utd34981744:6335
16Raj Pracha347121534:4433
17Khonkaen FC34592032:6024
18Thai Navy34252728:7111