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Thailand U17 vs South Korea U17

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17 2023
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AI Match Summary

Thailand U17 play South Korea U17 in the AFC Asian Cup U17 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Thailand U17 averaged 2.67 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. South Korea U17 averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Thailand U17 won 0, South Korea U17 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 25, 2023 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.31 for Thailand U17 and 1.38 for South Korea U17. This points to a South Korea U17 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Thailand U17
15%
Draws
47%
South Korea U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Korea U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Thailand U17 picked up more points recently compared to South Korea U17.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.31 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Thailand U17 Clean Sheet 17%
South Korea U17 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thailand U17 South Korea U17
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 2 4
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 2.67 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U17
Thailand U17 vs South Korea U17
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thailand U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Buranajutanon D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75

South Korea U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Min-Woo K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kim M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thailand U17 38 / 100
South Korea U17 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thailand U17 South Korea U17

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: South Korea U17 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Thailand U17 attacking → ← attacking South Korea U17

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thailand U17 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

South Korea U17 let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Thailand U17 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

South Korea U17 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 46
3.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13