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Thailand U20 W vs China U20 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup Women U20 Thammasat Stadium, Rangsit
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Xiao Yafei
Assist: Yu Jiaqi
35'
Xiao Yafei
46'
Sub
Yingsakul A. In: Manowang P.
Out: Yingsakul A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Thailand U20 W
15%
Draws
34%
China U20 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thailand U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • China U20 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • China U20 W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor China U20 W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Thailand U20 W Clean Sheet 10%
China U20 W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thailand U20 W China U20 W
Matches Played 11 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 0 7
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 3.27 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 AFC Asian Cup Women U20
Thailand U20 W vs China U20 W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thailand U20 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

China U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Xiao Yafei
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.03
Avg xA / game 1.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thailand U20 W 29 / 100
China U20 W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thailand U20 W China U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thailand U20 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thailand U20 W scored in 82% of their last 11 games.

China U20 W has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

China U20 W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Thailand U20 W VS China U20 W
2 Goals Scored 2.88
1.57 Goals Conceded 0.5
57% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Thailand U20 W

(Home)
12 Apr
Thailand U20 W
1 : 2
South Korea U20 W
07 Apr
Thailand U20 W
0 : 1
China U20 W
04 Apr
Vietnam U20 W
1 : 4
Thailand U20 W
01 Apr
Thailand U20 W
3 : 2
Bangladesh U20 W
06 Mar
Russia U19 W
1 : 0
Thailand U20 W
Page 1 of 3

China U20 W

(Away)
16 Sept
Italy U20 W
2 : 1
China U20 W
13 Sept
China U20 W
1 : 3
Spain U20 W
10 Sept
China U20 W
0 : 0
Nigeria U20 W
07 Sept
New Caledonia U20 W
0 : 5
China U20 W
15 Apr
China U20 W
0 : 2
Japan U20 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U20 W 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 Thailand U20 W 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Vietnam U20 W 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
4 Bangladesh U20 W 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U20 W 3 3 0 0 19:0 9
2 South Korea U20 W 3 2 0 1 4:6 6
3 Uzbekistan U20 W 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Jordan U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:14 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U20 W 3 3 0 0 13:2 9
2 Australia U20 W 3 2 0 1 12:5 6
3 India U20 W 3 1 0 2 3:12 3
4 Chinese Taipei U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams