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Thailand U22 vs Vietnam U22

Asia Asia

Southeast Asian Games
Thu, Dec 18, 2025
2 - 3
12:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Burapha Y.
31' Event
Ratree S.
49' Event
Nguyen Dinh Bac

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Thailand U22
15%
Draws
49%
Vietnam U22
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vietnam U22

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vietnam U22 come out ahead of Thailand U22 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Thailand U22's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Vietnam U22 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vietnam U22, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Thailand U22 Clean Sheet 68%
Vietnam U22 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thailand U22 Vietnam U22
Matches Played 22 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 3 5
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.09 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 18, 2025 Southeast Asian Games
Thailand U22 vs Vietnam U22
2:3
May 11, 2023 Southeast Asian Games
Vietnam U22 vs Thailand U22
1:1
Feb 21, 2019 ASEAN Championship U23
Vietnam U22 vs Thailand U22
0:0
Jun 19, 2012 Friendly International
Thailand U22 vs Vietnam U22
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thailand U22 Compare

Top Goalscorer Burapha Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ratree S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Vietnam U22 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Dinh Bac
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pham Ly Duc
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thailand U22 68 / 100
Vietnam U22 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thailand U22 Vietnam U22

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thailand U22 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thailand U22 scored in 91% of their last 22 games.

Defensive concern: Vietnam U22 conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Thailand U22 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Thailand U22 VS Vietnam U22
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Thailand U22

(Home)
18 Dec
Thailand U22
2 : 3
Vietnam U22
15 Dec
Thailand U22
1 : 0
Malaysia U22
11 Dec
Thailand U22
3 : 0
Singapore U22
03 Dec
Timor-Leste U22
1 : 6
Thailand U22
16 May
Indonesia U22
5 : 2
Thailand U22
Page 1 of 5

Vietnam U22

(Away)
18 Dec
Thailand U22
2 : 3
Vietnam U22
15 Dec
Vietnam U22
2 : 0
Philippines U22
11 Dec
Vietnam U22
2 : 0
Malaysia U22
03 Dec
Laos U22
1 : 2
Vietnam U22
18 Nov
Vietnam U22
0 : 1
South Korea U22
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Vietnam U22 2
Philippines U22 0
Thailand U22 1
Malaysia U22 0
Final
Vietnam U22 3
Thailand U22 2
Philippines U22 1
Malaysia U22 2