Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thailand U23 vs China U23

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 Al-Shabab Club Stadium, Riyadh
Thailand U23 Logo

Thailand U23

0 - 0
FT
China U23 Logo

China U23

Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Yang Haoyu
27'
Iminqari M.
29'
Hu H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Thailand U23
20%
Draws
46%
China U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: China U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • China U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives China U23 a 46% chance of winning this.
  • China U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Thailand U23 Clean Sheet 11%
China U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thailand U23 China U23
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.73 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.58 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Asian Games
China U23 vs Thailand U23
3:0
Mar 25, 2026 Friendly International
China U23 vs Thailand U23
2:2
Jan 14, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U23
Thailand U23 vs China U23
0:0
Oct 14, 2025 Friendly International
China U23 vs Thailand U23
0:0
Oct 10, 2025 Friendly International
China U23 vs Thailand U23
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thailand U23 14 / 100
China U23 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thailand U23 China U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick China U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thailand U23 found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

China U23 has conceded goals in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Thailand U23 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thailand U23 VS China U23
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Thailand U23

(Home)
26 Sept
China U23
3 : 0
Thailand U23
23 Sept
Japan U23
3 : 0
Thailand U23
20 Sept
Hong Kong U23
1 : 5
Thailand U23
16 Sept
Thailand U23
3 : 2
Kyrgyzstan U23
09 Jun
Thailand U23
2 : 5
United Arab Emirates U23
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China U23

(Away)
30 Sept
South Korea U23
2 : 1
China U23
26 Sept
China U23
3 : 0
Thailand U23
23 Sept
China U23
0 : 0
United Arab Emirates U23
20 Sept
Iran U23
0 : 0
China U23
16 Sept
China U23
2 : 1
North Korea U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Jordan U23 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
3 Saudi Arabia U23 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 0 0 3 1:4 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 3 3 0 0 10:0 9
2 United Arab Emirates U23 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
3 Syria U23 3 1 1 1 2:6 4
4 Qatar U23 3 0 0 3 0:5 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 South Korea U23 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Lebanon U23 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Iran U23 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U23 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
2 China U23 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
3 Iraq U23 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Thailand U23 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)