Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thailand U23 vs South Korea U23

World World

Friendly International True BG Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Buaphan C.
10' Event
Kang Seong-Jin
16' Event
Chansri T.

AI Match Summary

South Korea U23 in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored South Korea U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Thailand U23
40%
Draws
29%
South Korea U23
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • South Korea U23 have won more games recently than Thailand U23.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors South Korea U23 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Thailand U23 Clean Sheet 16%
South Korea U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thailand U23 South Korea U23
Matches Played 35 33
Wins 12 17
Draws 7 4
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Friendly International
Thailand U23 vs South Korea U23
2:3
Mar 20, 2024 WAFF Championship U23
South Korea U23 vs Thailand U23
1:0
Sep 21, 2023 Asian Games
Thailand U23 vs South Korea U23
0:4
Jun 8, 2022 AFC Asian Cup U23
South Korea U23 vs Thailand U23
1:0
Sep 30, 2014 Asian Games
South Korea U23 vs Thailand U23
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thailand U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Buaphan C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chansri T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

South Korea U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kang Seong-Jin
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lee Young-Jun
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thailand U23 31 / 100
South Korea U23 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thailand U23 South Korea U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thailand U23 scored in 77% of their last 35 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

South Korea U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 33 matches.

Thailand U23 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thailand U23 VS South Korea U23
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%