Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thailand U23 vs South Korea U23

World World

Friendly International True BG Stadium, Pathum Thani
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Buaphan C.
10' Event
Kang Seong-Jin
16' Event
Chansri T.

AI Match Summary

South Korea U23 in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored South Korea U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Thailand U23
15%
Draws
57%
South Korea U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Korea U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • South Korea U23 have won more games recently than Thailand U23.
  • Model gives South Korea U23 a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors South Korea U23 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Thailand U23 Clean Sheet 10%
South Korea U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thailand U23 South Korea U23
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 7 3
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.6 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Friendly International
Thailand U23 vs South Korea U23
2:3
Mar 20, 2024 WAFF Championship U23
South Korea U23 vs Thailand U23
1:0
Sep 21, 2023 Asian Games
Thailand U23 vs South Korea U23
0:4
Jun 8, 2022 AFC Asian Cup U23
South Korea U23 vs Thailand U23
1:0
Sep 30, 2014 Asian Games
South Korea U23 vs Thailand U23
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thailand U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Buaphan C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chansri T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

South Korea U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kang Seong-Jin
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lee Young-Jun
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thailand U23 10 / 100
South Korea U23 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thailand U23 South Korea U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Korea U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thailand U23 scored in 77% of their last 35 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

South Korea U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Thailand U23 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thailand U23 VS South Korea U23
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Thailand U23

(Home)
23 Sept
Japan U23
3 : 0
Thailand U23
20 Sept
Hong Kong U23
1 : 5
Thailand U23
16 Sept
Thailand U23
3 : 2
Kyrgyzstan U23
09 Jun
Thailand U23
2 : 5
United Arab Emirates U23
06 Jun
Thailand U23
2 : 3
South Korea U23
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South Korea U23

(Away)
25 Sept
South Korea U23
4 : 0
Vietnam U23
22 Sept
South Korea U23
2 : 0
Saudi Arabia U23
15 Sept
Qatar U23
1 : 4
South Korea U23
09 Jun
South Korea U23
0 : 1
Kyrgyzstan U23
06 Jun
Thailand U23
2 : 3
South Korea U23
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