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Stadium Background

Thailand vs Cambodia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship 2024 Rajamangala Stadium, Bangkok
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Nieto A.
Assist: Sor R.
33' Event
Pumwisat A.
46'
Sub
Sorada A. In: Auksornsri T.
Out: Sorada A.

AI Match Summary

Thailand in this ASEAN Championship 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thailand.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Thailand
20%
Draws
40%
Cambodia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Thailand have won more games recently than Cambodia.
  • Win probability leans Thailand's way, sitting at 80%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this ASEAN Championship 2024 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Thailand have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Thailand Clean Sheet 20%
Cambodia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thailand Cambodia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 20 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.16 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2024 ASEAN Championship
Thailand vs Cambodia
3:2
Jan 2, 2023 ASEAN Championship
Thailand vs Cambodia
3:1
May 18, 1972 Asian Cup
Cambodia vs Thailand
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thailand Compare

Top Goalscorer Pumwisat A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aukkee C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Cambodia Compare

Top Goalscorer Nieto A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coulibaly A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thailand 76 / 100
Cambodia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thailand Cambodia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thailand Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thailand scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 4.67 goals when they meet.

Cambodia let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Thailand has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thailand VS Cambodia
2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thailand

(Home)
05 Oct
Indonesia
3 : 2
Thailand
02 Oct
Thailand
1 : 2
Philippines
29 Sept
Thailand
2 : 0
Vietnam
26 Sept
Pakistan
0 : 4
Thailand
26 Aug
Vietnam
2 : 2
Thailand
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Cambodia

(Away)
03 Oct
Hong Kong
2 : 0
Cambodia
30 Sept
Timor-Leste
2 : 2
Cambodia
27 Sept
Cambodia
1 : 0
Myanmar
07 Aug
Vietnam
3 : 1
Cambodia
03 Aug
Cambodia
3 : 0
Timor-Leste
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 4 4 0 0 18:4 12
2 Singapore 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
3 Malaysia 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
4 Cambodia 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
5 Timor-Leste 4 0 0 4 3:18 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 4 3 1 0 11:2 10
2 Philippines 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
3 Indonesia 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
4 Myanmar 4 1 1 2 4:9 4
5 Laos 4 0 2 2 7:11 2
Promotion - ASEAN Championship 2024 (Play Offs)