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Thailand W vs Indonesia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship Women 2025 Lạch Tray Stadium, Haiphong
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Phomsri K.
19' Event
Casteen M.
Assist: Manowang P.
27' Event
Phomsri K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Thailand W in this ASEAN Championship Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 7-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thailand W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Thailand W
35%
Draws
45%
Indonesia W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Indonesia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Thailand W lately — more wins on the board than Indonesia W.
  • Model gives Indonesia W a 45% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this ASEAN Championship Women 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Thailand W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Thailand W Clean Sheet 19%
Indonesia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thailand W Indonesia W
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 20 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 3.06 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.15 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 17, 2025 Southeast Asian Games Women
Indonesia W vs Thailand W
0:2
Dec 4, 2025 Southeast Asian Games Women
Thailand W vs Indonesia W
8:0
Aug 6, 2025 ASEAN Championship Women
Thailand W vs Indonesia W
7:0
Jul 4, 2022 ASEAN Championship Women
Indonesia W vs Thailand W
0:4
Jan 24, 2022 Asian Cup Women
Indonesia W vs Thailand W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thailand W Compare

Top Goalscorer Phomsri K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Casteen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Indonesia W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thailand W 10 / 100
Indonesia W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thailand W Indonesia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indonesia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Thailand W scored in 82% of their last 34 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Indonesia W let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Thailand W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Thailand W VS Indonesia W
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thailand W

(Home)
21 Sept
Vietnam W
0 : 0
Thailand W
17 Sept
Thailand W
0 : 1
Chinese Taipei W
14 Sept
Japan W
8 : 0
Thailand W
09 Jun
Myanmar W
1 : 1
Thailand W
06 Jun
Thailand W
1 : 0
Uzbekistan W
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Indonesia W

(Away)
22 Jul
Laos W
0 : 5
Indonesia W
19 Jul
Singapore W
0 : 2
Indonesia W
16 Jul
Indonesia W
1 : 1
Cambodia W
10 Jul
Timor-Leste W
0 : 2
Indonesia W
09 Jun
Indonesia W
1 : 1
Cambodia W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam W 3 3 0 0 14:0 9
2 Thailand W 3 2 0 1 14:1 6
3 Cambodia W 3 0 1 2 1:14 1
4 Indonesia W 3 0 1 2 1:15 1
Promotion - ASEAN Championship Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Myanmar W 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Australia U23 W 3 2 0 1 11:2 6
3 Philippines W 3 1 1 1 8:2 4
4 Timor-Leste W 3 0 0 3 0:19 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship Women 2025 (Play Offs)