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Thailand W vs Mongolia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Olympic Games Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Pram-Nak N.
16' Event
Aupachai P.
27' Event
Somnuek P.

AI Match Summary

The Olympic Games Women 2024 game between Thailand W and Mongolia W finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thailand W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Thailand W
20%
Draws
0%
Mongolia W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Thailand W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Thailand W come out ahead of Mongolia W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Thailand W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Olympic Games Women 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Thailand W Clean Sheet 20%
Mongolia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thailand W Mongolia W
Matches Played 33 23
Wins 19 2
Draws 3 3
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 3 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.27 6.78
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2025 Asian Cup Women
Mongolia W vs Thailand W
0:11
Apr 7, 2023 Olympic Games Women
Thailand W vs Mongolia W
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thailand W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pram-Nak N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aupachai P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.67
Avg xA / game 1.08

Mongolia W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thailand W 85 / 100
Mongolia W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thailand W Mongolia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thailand W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mongolia W conceded in 91% of 23 recent games.

These sides typically produce 8.50 goals when they meet.

Mongolia W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Thailand W's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Thailand W VS -
3.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Thailand W

(Home)
21 Sept
Vietnam W
0 : 0
Thailand W
17 Sept
Thailand W
0 : 1
Chinese Taipei W
14 Sept
Japan W
8 : 0
Thailand W
09 Jun
Myanmar W
1 : 1
Thailand W
06 Jun
Thailand W
1 : 0
Uzbekistan W
Page 1 of 7

Mongolia W

(Away)
05 Jul
Timor-Leste W
3 : 1
Mongolia W
02 Jul
Mongolia W
0 : 11
Thailand W
26 Jun
Iraq W
5 : 2
Mongolia W
23 Jun
Mongolia W
0 : 13
India W
04 Dec
Hong Kong W
6 : 0
Mongolia W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan W 3 3 0 0 19:0 9
2 Bhutan W 3 2 0 1 5:11 6
3 Jordan W 3 1 0 2 4:10 3
4 Timor-Leste W 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Olympic Games Women 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran W 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Myanmar W 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
3 Bangladesh W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Maldives W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Olympic Games Women 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam W 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Nepal W 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
3 Afghanistan W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Palestine W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Olympic Games Women 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand W 2 2 0 0 12:0 6
2 Singapore W 2 0 1 1 2:8 1
3 Mongolia W 2 0 1 1 2:8 1
4 Sri Lanka W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Olympic Games Women 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Philippines W 3 3 0 0 16:0 9
2 Hong Kong W 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Pakistan W 3 1 0 2 1:6 3
4 Tajikistan W 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - Olympic Games Women 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chinese Taipei W 2 2 0 0 9:1 6
2 Lebanon W 2 1 0 1 6:5 3
3 Indonesia W 2 0 0 2 0:9 0
Promotion - Olympic Games Women 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 India W 2 2 0 0 9:0 6
2 Kyrgyzstan W 2 0 0 2 0:9 0
3 Turkmenistan W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Olympic Games Women 2024 (Second stage)