Sport Picks
Thap Luang United vs Rayong FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Thailand
Thai FA Cup 
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
25%
33%
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Thap Luang United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Rayong FC carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Rayong FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Rayong FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Thap Luang United Clean Sheet 20%
Rayong FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Thap Luang United | Rayong FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 3 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 9 |
| Draws | 0 | 10 |
| Losses | 1 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.33 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.67 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 21, 2026 Thai FA Cup
Thap Luang United vs Rayong FC
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Thap Luang United 31 / 100
Rayong FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Thap Luang United Rayong FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Thap Luang United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rayong FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
Thap Luang United scored in 67% of their last 3 games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Thap Luang United stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Thap Luang United VS Rayong FC
0 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Thap Luang United
(Home) 18 Mar
Chonburi
1 : 0 Thap Luang United
28 Jan
Thap Luang United
1 : 0 Sukhothai
27 Dec
Thap Luang United
1 : 0 Chiangrai Utd
28 Jan
Thap Luang United
1 : 0 Sukhothai
27 Dec
Thap Luang United
1 : 0 Chiangrai Utd
Rayong FC
(Away) 17 Oct
Rayong FC
1 : 1 Uthai Thani
10 Oct
Buriram United F.C.
3 : 2 Rayong FC
20 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 1 Ratchaburi
13 Sept
Chonburi
2 : 3 Rayong FC
05 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 0 Prachuap
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Buriram United F.C.
3 : 2 Rayong FC
13 Sept
Chonburi
2 : 3 Rayong FC
03 May
Ratchaburi
6 : 1 Rayong FC
18 Apr
Uthai Thani
4 : 1 Rayong FC
05 Apr
Chonburi
4 : 1 Rayong FC
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Romklao United 1
Sukhothai 0
Dome 0
Sisaket United 7
Nakhon Phanom United 1
Marines FC 0
Phetchabun -
Banbueng -
See Khwae City 1
Udon Banjan United 2
Udon United 5
Lopburi City 0
Buriram United F.C. 8
DPU Thayang FC 0
Thap Luang United 1
Rayong FC 2
Huasamrong 1
Mahasarakham 2
Yala 0
Samut Sakhon City 0
Ayutthaya United 2
Muang Thong Utd 1
Chumphon United 3
Songkhla 6
Rasisalai United 1
Port MTI FC 3
Kasetsart 1
Chanthaburi 3
Phetchaburi -
Lopburi FC -
Surindra FC -
Phichit United -
Suphanburi FC 0
Lamphun Warrior 4
Burapha United 1
Chiangrai Utd 2
Old Blood 0
Bangkok Utd 5
Police Tero 4
Surin City 1
Uthai Thani 2
Nakhon Pathom 0
Bangkapi -
PTS -
Khonkaen United 1
Pathum United 0
Phitsanulok 2
Royal Thai Fleet FC 1
Pattaya United 0
Narathiwat FC 0
Muangnont -
Samui United -
Kasem Bundit 2
Customs Utd 1
Prachuap -
Nonthaburi United -
Bangkok FC 0
Nong Bua Pitchaya 2
Chonburi 2
Pattaya City 5
Warin Chamrap -
Karin United -
Ratchaburi 4
Pattani 0
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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