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The Belval Belvaux vs Blo Weiss Itzig

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2012/2013
Sun, Oct 7, 2012
1 - 0
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with The Belval Belvaux advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
The Belval Belvaux
6%
Draws
4%
Blo Weiss Itzig
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: The Belval Belvaux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and The Belval Belvaux come out ahead of Blo Weiss Itzig on wins alone.
  • Model gives The Belval Belvaux a 90% chance of winning this.
  • The Belval Belvaux have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor The Belval Belvaux, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
The Belval Belvaux Clean Sheet 11%
Blo Weiss Itzig Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric The Belval Belvaux Blo Weiss Itzig
Matches Played 14 11
Wins 4 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.5 4.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 4.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2012 Luxembourg Cup
The Belval Belvaux vs Blo Weiss Itzig
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

The Belval Belvaux 83 / 100
Blo Weiss Itzig 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
The Belval Belvaux Blo Weiss Itzig

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Blo Weiss Itzig conceded in 100% of 11 recent games.

Difficult form: Blo Weiss Itzig registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

The Belval Belvaux scored in 57% of their last 14 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

The Belval Belvaux VS Blo Weiss Itzig
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 4.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

The Belval Belvaux

(Home)
09 Nov
The Belval Belvaux
2 : 4
UNA Strassen
21 Sept
Les Aiglons Dalheim
2 : 6
The Belval Belvaux
22 Jul
The Belval Belvaux
1 : 4
Jeunesse Canach
12 Mar
Lintgen
2 : 1
The Belval Belvaux
27 Nov
The Belval Belvaux
1 : 0
Mondorf
Page 1 of 3

Blo Weiss Itzig

(Away)
01 Oct
Blo Weiss Itzig
0 : 4
FC Marisca Mersch
02 Oct
Blo Weiss Itzig
0 : 2
Union Titus Petange
03 Oct
Blo Weiss Itzig
0 : 6
Victoria Rosport
16 Oct
Hesperange
4 : 0
Blo Weiss Itzig
10 Nov
Blo Weiss Itzig
2 : 4
Differdange
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Jeunesse Esch-
TBD-
Jeunesse Junglinster0
Rumelange5
Hesperange4
CS Sanem0
TBD-
Fola-
Union Tetange-
TBD-
Alliance1
Cebra3
Esch3
UNA Strassen0
TBD-
Dudelange-
Progres Niedercorn-
TBD-
Miniere Lasauvage1
Diekirch2
Mondorf2
The Belval Belvaux1
TBD-
Racing Luxembourg-
Luxembourg City-
TBD-
FF Norden0
US Berdorf Consdorf6
Victoria Rosport3
Luna Oberkorn2
TBD-
Kaerjeng-
Grevenmacher-
TBD-
Pratzerthal/Redange0
Oberkorn4
US Feulen3
Bettembourg2
TBD-
Wiltz-
Erpeldange5
FC Rodange 914
TBD-
Jeunesse Canach-
CS Petange-
TBD-
FC Brouch1
Hostert4
Bissen3
Lintgen2
FC Residence Walferdange0
US Sandweiler1
Sporting Bertrange5
Mondercange0
Schifflange1
FC Yellow Boys Weiler3
Ettelbruck-
TBD-
Blue Boys Muhlenbach0
Mertert/Wasserbillig2
FC Marisca Mersch3
FC Mamer1
TBD-
Differdange-
1/16-finals
Jeunesse Esch3
Rumelange1
Hesperange1
Fola2
Union Tetange3
Cebra0
Esch1
Dudelange4
Progres Niedercorn3
Diekirch0
Mondorf0
Racing Luxembourg2
Luxembourg City7
US Berdorf Consdorf0
Victoria Rosport2
Kaerjeng3
Grevenmacher2
Oberkorn0
US Feulen0
Wiltz4
Erpeldange3
Jeunesse Canach2
CS Petange3
Hostert4
Bissen1
US Sandweiler0
Sporting Bertrange3
FC Yellow Boys Weiler4
Ettelbruck2
Mertert/Wasserbillig0
FC Marisca Mersch0
Differdange3
1/8-finals
Jeunesse Esch2
Fola1
Union Tetange1
Dudelange4
Progres Niedercorn2
Racing Luxembourg1
Luxembourg City0
Kaerjeng1
Grevenmacher4
Wiltz2
Erpeldange1
Hostert4
Bissen3
FC Yellow Boys Weiler2
Ettelbruck0
Differdange7
Quarter-finals
Jeunesse Esch1
Dudelange0
Progres Niedercorn0
Kaerjeng1
Grevenmacher2
Hostert1
Bissen0
Differdange2
Semi-finals
Jeunesse Esch2
Kaerjeng0
Grevenmacher0
Differdange1
Final
Jeunesse Esch2
Differdange1