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The Cove FC vs Adelaide Cobras

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Antoniou A.
90'
Nicola A.

AI Match Summary

Adelaide Cobras in this SA State League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Adelaide Cobras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
The Cove FC
28%
Draws
22%
Adelaide Cobras
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: The Cove FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: The Cove FC at 0.88 per game, Adelaide Cobras at 0.75.
  • Model gives The Cove FC a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular SA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Adelaide Cobras have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
The Cove FC Clean Sheet 19%
Adelaide Cobras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric The Cove FC Adelaide Cobras
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 0.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 SA State League
The Cove FC vs Adelaide Cobras
0:1
May 2, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Cobras vs The Cove FC
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 SA State League
Adelaide Cobras vs The Cove FC
2:0
May 24, 2025 SA State League
The Cove FC vs Adelaide Cobras
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

The Cove FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Adelaide Cobras Compare

Top Goalscorer Antoniou A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

The Cove FC 49 / 100
Adelaide Cobras 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
The Cove FC Adelaide Cobras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

The Cove FC found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Adelaide Cobras has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

The Cove FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

The Cove FC VS Adelaide Cobras
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

The Cove FC

(Home)
25 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 1
Adelaide Cobras
18 Jul
South Adelaide
2 : 2
The Cove FC
14 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 5
Adelaide Utd
07 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 0
Modbury Jets
04 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 0
Adelaide Atletico
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Adelaide Cobras

(Away)
25 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 1
Adelaide Cobras
18 Jul
Blue Eagles
0 : 0
Adelaide Cobras
04 Jul
Adelaide Cobras
0 : 3
Fulham United
27 Jun
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
7 : 0
Adelaide Cobras
20 Jun
Adelaide Cobras
1 : 1
Eastern United
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adelaide Croatia Raiders19131550:2340
2Adelaide Olympic19121638:2437
3Modbury Jets19105438:1835
4Fulham United19103638:2833
5Cumberland United19101834:2531
6Blue Eagles1994632:2731
7Adelaide Atletico1993733:2930
8The Cove FC1975726:2726
9Adelaide Cobras19621122:3720
10Eastern United19441118:3916
11Salisbury United19421324:4214
12South Adelaide19331320:5412
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)