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The Cove FC vs Modbury Jets

Australia Australia

SA State League
Tue, Jul 7, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Cove FC play Modbury Jets in the SA State League. It looks like a close match. Recently, The Cove FC averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Modbury Jets averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, The Cove FC won 0, Modbury Jets won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 14, 2026 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for The Cove FC and 1.63 for Modbury Jets. This points to a Modbury Jets double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
The Cove FC
18%
Draws
44%
Modbury Jets
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Modbury Jets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • The Cove FC picked up more points recently compared to Modbury Jets.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
The Cove FC Clean Sheet 14%
Modbury Jets Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric The Cove FC Modbury Jets
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.71 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 SA State League
Modbury Jets vs The Cove FC
5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

The Cove FC 37 / 100
Modbury Jets 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
The Cove FC Modbury Jets

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Modbury Jets or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

The Cove FC attacking → ← attacking Modbury Jets

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

The Cove FC scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Modbury Jets let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

The Cove FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Modbury Jets lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 45
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Adelaide Croatia Raiders16101544:2231
2Adelaide Olympic17101632:2331
3Fulham United1693434:2430
4Adelaide Atletico1692533:2429
5Modbury Jets1584330:1328
6Cumberland United1681728:2125
7Blue Eagles1573524:2324
8The Cove FC1572624:2423
9Adelaide Cobras16511021:3416
10Eastern United1744918:3316
11Salisbury United17321219:3911
12South Adelaide16321116:4311