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The Lakes FC vs The Gap

Australia Australia

Brisbane Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Chambers B.
26' Event
Fogarty D.
29'
McCusker J.

AI Match Summary

The Lakes FC in this Brisbane Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored The Lakes FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
The Lakes FC
6%
Draws
4%
The Gap
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: The Lakes FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to The Lakes FC lately — more wins on the board than The Gap.
  • Model gives The Lakes FC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Brisbane Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
The Lakes FC Clean Sheet 68%
The Gap Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric The Lakes FC The Gap
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 3 5
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
The Gap vs The Lakes FC
1:0
May 2, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
The Lakes FC vs The Gap
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

The Lakes FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Fogarty D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Spencer D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

The Gap Compare

Top Goalscorer Chambers B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

The Lakes FC 95 / 100
The Gap 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
The Lakes FC The Gap

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

The Lakes FC found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (23 games).

The Gap has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

The Lakes FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

The Lakes FC VS The Gap
2 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Albany Creek221930102:1860
2Bayside United22142648:2544
3The Lakes FC22133660:4542
4St. George Willawong22122856:3938
5Gravatt22103938:4133
6Acacia Ridge22103942:4733
7Toowong City2295847:4632
8Univ. of Queensland22731227:4624
9Centenary Stormers22651130:4923
10The Gap22451319:4417
11Western Spirit FC22441436:7016
12Brisbane Knights22421629:6414