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The Strongest vs Bolivar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Pacena Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Arrascaita J.
25'
Freita E.
30'
Welch J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
The Strongest
30%
Draws
38%
Bolivar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bolivar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Bolivar at 2.21 per game, The Strongest at 2.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on The Strongest taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
The Strongest Clean Sheet 13%
Bolivar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric The Strongest Bolivar
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 17
Draws 8 6
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 2 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Copa Pacena
The Strongest vs Bolivar
1:1
Aug 30, 2026 Copa Pacena
Bolivar vs The Strongest
4:2
Jul 12, 2026 Division Profesional
The Strongest vs Bolivar
1:1
Feb 6, 2026 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Bolivar vs The Strongest
1:0
Jan 30, 2026 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
The Strongest vs Bolivar
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

The Strongest Compare

Top Goalscorer Arrascaita J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Bolivar Compare

Top Goalscorer Arce B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

The Strongest 57 / 100
Bolivar 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
The Strongest Bolivar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick The Strongest Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

The Strongest's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

The Strongest went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Bolivar let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

The Strongest VS Bolivar
2.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

The Strongest

(Home)
03 Oct
The Strongest
5 : 2
Club Universitario de Vinto
01 Oct
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 1
The Strongest
26 Sept
The Strongest
2 : 1
Guabira
20 Sept
The Strongest
1 : 1
Bolivar
15 Sept
Academia del Balompie
1 : 2
The Strongest
Page 1 of 6

Bolivar

(Away)
04 Oct
Independiente
0 : 3
Bolivar
01 Oct
Bolivar
3 : 2
GV San Jose
27 Sept
Bolivar
3 : 0
Blooming
20 Sept
The Strongest
1 : 1
Bolivar
18 Sept
Bolivar
4 : 2
GV San Jose
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 8 5 3 0 13:6 18
2 Real Potosi 8 4 2 2 14:12 14
3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 8 3 1 4 15:12 10
4 Academia del Balompie 8 2 0 6 9:13 6
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional Potosi 7 4 2 1 21:5 14
2 Always Ready 7 3 1 3 12:19 10
3 Tomayapo 8 3 1 4 10:20 10
4 Real Oruro 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 The Strongest 7 4 2 1 15:11 14
2 Oriente Petrolero 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
3 Guabira 7 3 0 4 9:14 9
4 Club Universitario de Vinto 7 2 1 4 13:15 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 7 5 2 0 16:6 17
2 Independiente 7 4 1 2 15:11 13
3 GV San Jose 7 2 0 5 11:16 6
4 Blooming 7 1 0 6 10:19 3
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)