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The Strongest vs Guabira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Pacena Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Abrego V.
Assist: Anez C.
26' Event
Pachu
Assist: Saucedo W.
43'
Gil S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
The Strongest
20%
Draws
42%
Guabira
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guabira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • The Strongest carry the better recent record into this one.
  • The Strongest are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • The Strongest have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor The Strongest, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
The Strongest Clean Sheet 20%
Guabira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric The Strongest Guabira
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.97 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Copa Pacena
Guabira vs The Strongest
2:1
Sep 26, 2026 Copa Pacena
The Strongest vs Guabira
2:1
Aug 15, 2026 Division Profesional
Guabira vs The Strongest
3:1
Nov 26, 2025 Copa Pacena
Guabira vs The Strongest
3:3
Nov 19, 2025 Copa Pacena
The Strongest vs Guabira
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

The Strongest Compare

Top Goalscorer Pachu
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castro R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Guabira Compare

Top Goalscorer Abrego V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

The Strongest 40 / 100
Guabira 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
The Strongest Guabira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick The Strongest Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

The Strongest found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Guabira conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: The Strongest stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

The Strongest VS Guabira
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

The Strongest

(Home)
08 Oct
Guabira
2 : 1
The Strongest
03 Oct
The Strongest
5 : 2
Club Universitario de Vinto
01 Oct
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 1
The Strongest
26 Sept
The Strongest
2 : 1
Guabira
20 Sept
The Strongest
1 : 1
Bolivar
Page 1 of 6

Guabira

(Away)
08 Oct
Guabira
2 : 1
The Strongest
04 Oct
Guabira
2 : 1
Oriente Petrolero
29 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 1
Guabira
26 Sept
The Strongest
2 : 1
Guabira
21 Sept
Guabira
2 : 1
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 8 5 3 0 13:6 18
2 Real Potosi 8 4 2 2 14:12 14
3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 8 3 1 4 15:12 10
4 Academia del Balompie 8 2 0 6 9:13 6
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional Potosi 8 5 2 1 24:7 17
2 Always Ready 8 3 1 4 14:22 10
3 Tomayapo 8 3 1 4 10:20 10
4 Real Oruro 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 The Strongest 8 4 2 2 16:13 14
2 Oriente Petrolero 8 4 1 3 12:9 13
3 Guabira 8 4 0 4 11:15 12
4 Club Universitario de Vinto 8 2 1 5 13:17 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 7 5 2 0 16:6 17
2 Independiente 8 5 1 2 16:11 16
3 GV San Jose 8 2 0 6 11:17 6
4 Blooming 7 1 0 6 10:19 3
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)