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Thep Can Tho vs Aurora Saigon United

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 2 2025/2026
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Match Events

79' Event
Mai Quoc Tu

AI Match Summary

The V.League 2 2025/2026 game between Thep Can Tho and Aurora Saigon United finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aurora Saigon United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Thep Can Tho
20%
Draws
23%
Aurora Saigon United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Thep Can Tho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Thep Can Tho's 0.96 goals per match outpaces what Aurora Saigon United have produced (0.82).
  • Model gives Thep Can Tho a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular V.League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Thep Can Tho Clean Sheet 68%
Aurora Saigon United Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thep Can Tho Aurora Saigon United
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 7 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.96 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 V.League 2
Thep Can Tho vs Aurora Saigon United
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 V.League 2
Aurora Saigon United vs Thep Can Tho
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thep Can Tho Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Aurora Saigon United Compare

Top Goalscorer Mai Quoc Tu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thep Can Tho 77 / 100
Aurora Saigon United 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thep Can Tho Aurora Saigon United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thep Can Tho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurora Saigon United let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Thep Can Tho remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Aurora Saigon United registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Thep Can Tho's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Thep Can Tho VS Aurora Saigon United
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Thep Can Tho

(Home)
20 Sept
Hai Phong
0 : 1
Thep Can Tho
12 Sept
Thep Can Tho
0 : 3
Hung Yen
06 Jun
Thep Can Tho
4 : 2
Ho Chi Minh 2
30 May
Khanh Hoa
1 : 1
Thep Can Tho
23 May
Thep Can Tho
3 : 1
PVF-CAND B
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Aurora Saigon United

(Away)
27 Sept
Aurora Saigon United
0 : 3
Thai Nguyen
11 Sept
Hue FC
0 : 2
Aurora Saigon United
23 Aug
Long An
2 : 2
Aurora Saigon United
19 Aug
Aurora Saigon United
0 : 1
Ho Chi Minh City
16 Aug
Binh Duong
2 : 1
Aurora Saigon United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 22 15 5 2 47:14 50
2 Bac Ninh 22 13 6 3 41:23 45
3 Ho Chi Minh City 22 11 5 6 33:22 38
4 Quy Nhon United 22 10 5 7 38:31 35
5 Xuan Thien Phu Tho 22 9 6 7 34:32 33
6 PVF-CAND B 22 8 8 6 34:26 32
7 Van Hien 22 7 7 8 21:24 28
8 Khanh Hoa 22 7 6 9 21:23 27
9 Thep Can Tho 22 6 8 8 23:26 26
10 Aurora Saigon United 22 5 9 8 16:21 24
11 Long An 22 3 5 14 11:30 14
12 Ho Chi Minh 2 22 1 4 17 15:62 7
13 Hoa Binh 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - V.League 1 (Main)
Promotion - V.League 1 2025/2026 (Relegation)