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Thes Sport vs ASV Geel

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Thes Sport and ASV Geel finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ASV Geel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Thes Sport
35%
Draws
41%
ASV Geel
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ASV Geel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • ASV Geel haven't matched Thes Sport's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors ASV Geel here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Thes Sport Clean Sheet 18%
ASV Geel Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thes Sport ASV Geel
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.59 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2025 Club Friendly
Thes Sport vs ASV Geel
1:4
Jan 12, 2019 National Division 1
ASV Geel vs Thes Sport
3:2
Sep 1, 2018 National Division 1
Thes Sport vs ASV Geel
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thes Sport 36 / 100
ASV Geel 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thes Sport ASV Geel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASV Geel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thes Sport scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

ASV Geel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 24 matches.

H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.

Thes Sport has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thes Sport VS ASV Geel
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Thes Sport

(Home)
19 Sept
Thes Sport
2 : 3
Leuven B
12 Sept
Heist
1 : 1
Thes Sport
05 Sept
Thes Sport
2 : 0
Knokke
29 Aug
K. Lyra-Lierse
3 : 3
Thes Sport
09 Aug
Thes Sport
1 : 1
Lierse SK
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ASV Geel

(Away)
04 Aug
ASV Geel
1 : 1
Hasselt
13 Aug
Thes Sport
1 : 4
ASV Geel
23 Aug
Meux
2 : 1
ASV Geel
17 Aug
ASV Geel
2 : 1
Wezel Sport
10 Aug
ASV Geel
2 : 0
Crossing Schaerbeek
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