Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thes Sport vs Leuven B

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 Gemeentelijk Sportpark, Tessenderlo
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Claes A.
33' Event
Claes A.
79' Event
Claes A.

AI Match Summary

Thes Sport in this National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thes Sport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Thes Sport
35%
Draws
41%
Leuven B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Leuven B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Leuven B have won more games recently than Thes Sport.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Thes Sport Clean Sheet 12%
Leuven B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thes Sport Leuven B
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 3
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.55 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Thes Sport vs Leuven B
2:3
Jan 31, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Thes Sport vs Leuven B
3:1
Nov 30, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Leuven B vs Thes Sport
4:1
Mar 15, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Thes Sport vs Leuven B
1:1
Dec 1, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Leuven B vs Thes Sport
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thes Sport Compare

Top Goalscorer Claes A.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Leuven B Compare

Top Goalscorer Murru S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thes Sport 30 / 100
Leuven B 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thes Sport Leuven B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Leuven B conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Thes Sport's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Thes Sport has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thes Sport VS Leuven B
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Thes Sport

(Home)
19 Sept
Thes Sport
2 : 3
Leuven B
12 Sept
Heist
1 : 1
Thes Sport
05 Sept
Thes Sport
2 : 0
Knokke
29 Aug
K. Lyra-Lierse
3 : 3
Thes Sport
09 Aug
Thes Sport
1 : 1
Lierse SK
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Leuven B

(Away)
19 Sept
Thes Sport
2 : 3
Leuven B
13 Sept
Leuven B
4 : 3
Zelzate
06 Sept
Leuven B
2 : 1
Tienen
29 Aug
Houtvenne
3 : 1
Leuven B
19 Aug
Leuven B
2 : 2
Genk U23
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
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