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Thesprotos vs Asteras Petriti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2024/2025
Sun, Mar 16, 2025
3 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thesprotos host Asteras Petriti in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2024/2025. Thesprotos go into this one as the clear favorite. Asteras Petriti have shipped 2.9 goals a game lately, while Thesprotos have conceded 1.97 and scored 0.62. Head-to-head, Thesprotos have won 3 to Asteras Petriti's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 16, 2025, ending 3:0. xG projections (0.85 - 1.63) back Thesprotos to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Thesprotos
15%
Draws
85%
Asteras Petriti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Asteras Petriti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Thesprotos have won more games recently than Asteras Petriti.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.2%
Thesprotos Clean Sheet 14%
Asteras Petriti Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thesprotos Asteras Petriti
Matches Played 39 29
Wins 7 1
Draws 7 3
Losses 25 25
Goals Scored 0.62 0.34
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Thesprotos vs Asteras Petriti
3:0
Nov 24, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Asteras Petriti vs Thesprotos
2:2
Jan 14, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Thesprotos vs Asteras Petriti
2:0
Oct 4, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Asteras Petriti vs Thesprotos
0:0
Apr 2, 2017 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Thesprotos vs Asteras Petriti
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thesprotos 35 / 100
Asteras Petriti 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thesprotos Asteras Petriti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asteras Petriti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asteras Petriti has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Asteras Petriti registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Thesprotos scored in 38% of their last 39 games.

Scoring Trends

Thesprotos VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Thesprotos

(Home)
01 Mar
Lamia
3 : 0
Thesprotos
21 Feb
Thesprotos
0 : 3
Lefkimmi
15 Feb
Aris Filiaton
3 : 0
Thesprotos
11 Feb
AO Trikala
3 : 0
Thesprotos
01 Feb
Nea Selefkia
3 : 0
Thesprotos
Page 1 of 8

Asteras Petriti

(Away)
27 Apr
Asteras Petriti
0 : 3
Anthoupoli
12 Apr
Aris Filiaton
3 : 0
Asteras Petriti
06 Apr
Asteras Petriti
0 : 3
Tilikratis Lefkada
30 Mar
Aiginiakos
3 : 0
Asteras Petriti
23 Mar
Asteras Petriti
0 : 3
Kozani FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karditsa 34 28 4 2 77:11 88
2 Pierikos 34 27 6 1 79:10 87
3 Tilikratis Lefkada 34 16 8 10 54:32 56
4 Anagennisi Arta 34 16 8 10 41:34 56
5 Anthoupoli 34 15 9 10 39:24 54
6 Thesprotos 34 14 12 8 34:22 54
7 Zakynthos 34 15 8 11 54:33 53
8 AO Trikala 34 15 8 11 48:28 53
9 Kozani FC 34 15 7 12 47:36 52
10 Aris Filiaton 34 13 11 10 52:32 50
11 Philippos Alexandreia 34 12 14 8 40:31 50
12 Aiginiakos 34 15 5 14 44:54 50
13 O. Volos 34 12 11 11 38:38 47
14 Atromitos Palamas 34 10 8 16 31:46 38
15 Amvrakikos Vonitsa 34 5 8 21 32:67 23
16 Ermis Amyntaio 34 2 3 29 23:103 9
17 Svoronos FC 33 3 7 23 14:67 7
18 Asteras Petriti 33 2 3 28 14:93 0
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