Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thesprotos vs Elassona

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026
Sun, Jan 11, 2026
0 - 3
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thesprotos host Elassona in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026. This has Elassona written all over it on paper. Elassona have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Thesprotos have conceded 2.4 and scored 0.43. Past meetings favor Elassona slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 11, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 0.79 vs 2.00, favoring Elassona. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Thesprotos
15%
Draws
85%
Elassona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elassona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Elassona lately — more wins on the board than Thesprotos.
  • Elassona are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Thesprotos Clean Sheet 10%
Elassona Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thesprotos Elassona
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 15
Draws 3 9
Losses 24 6
Goals Scored 0.43 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.4 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Thesprotos vs Elassona
0:3
Oct 12, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Elassona vs Thesprotos
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thesprotos 10 / 100
Elassona 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thesprotos Elassona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elassona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Defensive concern: Elassona conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Thesprotos found the back of the net in 30% of recent matches (30 games).

Elassona lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thesprotos VS Elassona
0 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Thesprotos

(Home)
01 Mar
Lamia
3 : 0
Thesprotos
21 Feb
Thesprotos
0 : 3
Lefkimmi
15 Feb
Aris Filiaton
3 : 0
Thesprotos
11 Feb
AO Trikala
3 : 0
Thesprotos
01 Feb
Nea Selefkia
3 : 0
Thesprotos
Page 1 of 6

Elassona

(Away)
26 Sept
Elassona
3 : 0
Ethnikos Neou
17 May
Elassona
2 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
13 May
Elassona
0 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
10 May
Panthrakikos
5 : 1
Elassona
03 May
Ethnikos Neou
1 : 2
Elassona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elassona 24 11 10 3 31:19 43
2 Aris Filiaton 24 12 7 5 33:19 43
3 AO Trikala 24 11 10 3 35:18 43
4 Asteras Stavrou 24 11 7 6 36:28 40
5 Lamia 24 9 12 3 36:17 39
6 Tilikratis Lefkada 24 9 8 7 25:22 35
7 Anagennisi Arta 24 9 8 7 26:21 35
8 Lefkimmi 24 10 3 11 31:31 33
9 Anagennisi Schimatariou 24 9 5 10 25:24 32
10 Anthoupoli 24 7 6 11 21:29 27
11 Nea Selefkia 24 5 11 8 25:27 26
12 Proodos Rogon 23 4 6 13 30:40 18
13 Thesprotos 23 1 1 21 6:65 1
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Losers stage)