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Thesprotos vs Nea Selefkia

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nea Selefkia in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nea Selefkia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Thesprotos
20%
Draws
80%
Nea Selefkia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nea Selefkia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nea Selefkia lately — more wins on the board than Thesprotos.
  • Nea Selefkia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Thesprotos Clean Sheet 10%
Nea Selefkia Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thesprotos Nea Selefkia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 7
Draws 3 13
Losses 24 10
Goals Scored 0.43 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Nea Selefkia vs Thesprotos
3:0
Nov 2, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Thesprotos vs Nea Selefkia
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thesprotos 10 / 100
Nea Selefkia 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thesprotos Nea Selefkia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nea Selefkia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Thesprotos scored in 30% of their last 30 games.

Nea Selefkia has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Nea Selefkia lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thesprotos VS Nea Selefkia
0 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Thesprotos

(Home)
01 Mar
Lamia
3 : 0
Thesprotos
21 Feb
Thesprotos
0 : 3
Lefkimmi
15 Feb
Aris Filiaton
3 : 0
Thesprotos
11 Feb
AO Trikala
3 : 0
Thesprotos
01 Feb
Nea Selefkia
3 : 0
Thesprotos
Page 1 of 6

Nea Selefkia

(Away)
08 Apr
Anagennisi Arta
0 : 3
Nea Selefkia
05 Apr
Nea Selefkia
0 : 0
Anthoupoli
01 Apr
Anagennisi Schimatariou
2 : 2
Nea Selefkia
28 Mar
Nea Selefkia
1 : 0
Proodos Rogon
22 Mar
Lefkimmi
2 : 1
Nea Selefkia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elassona 24 11 10 3 31:19 43
2 Aris Filiaton 24 12 7 5 33:19 43
3 AO Trikala 24 11 10 3 35:18 43
4 Asteras Stavrou 24 11 7 6 36:28 40
5 Lamia 24 9 12 3 36:17 39
6 Tilikratis Lefkada 24 9 8 7 25:22 35
7 Anagennisi Arta 24 9 8 7 26:21 35
8 Lefkimmi 24 10 3 11 31:31 33
9 Anagennisi Schimatariou 24 9 5 10 25:24 32
10 Anthoupoli 24 7 6 11 21:29 27
11 Nea Selefkia 24 5 11 8 25:27 26
12 Proodos Rogon 23 4 6 13 30:40 18
13 Thesprotos 23 1 1 21 6:65 1
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Losers stage)