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Thesprotos vs Proodos Rogon

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026
Sun, Jan 25, 2026
0 - 3
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thesprotos host Proodos Rogon in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026. Proodos Rogon are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Thesprotos at 0.43 goals for, 2.4 against; Proodos Rogon at 1.41 for, 1.9 against. Past meetings favor Proodos Rogon slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 25, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.42 vs 2.19, favoring Proodos Rogon. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Thesprotos
15%
Draws
85%
Proodos Rogon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Proodos Rogon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Proodos Rogon come out ahead of Thesprotos on wins alone.
  • Proodos Rogon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Thesprotos Clean Sheet 10%
Proodos Rogon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thesprotos Proodos Rogon
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 6
Draws 3 6
Losses 24 17
Goals Scored 0.43 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Thesprotos vs Proodos Rogon
0:3
Oct 26, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Proodos Rogon vs Thesprotos
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thesprotos 10 / 100
Proodos Rogon 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thesprotos Proodos Rogon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Proodos Rogon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Proodos Rogon conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Proodos Rogon has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Thesprotos's goal record stands at 30% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Thesprotos VS Proodos Rogon
0 Goals Scored 1.38
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thesprotos

(Home)
01 Mar
Lamia
3 : 0
Thesprotos
21 Feb
Thesprotos
0 : 3
Lefkimmi
15 Feb
Aris Filiaton
3 : 0
Thesprotos
11 Feb
AO Trikala
3 : 0
Thesprotos
01 Feb
Nea Selefkia
3 : 0
Thesprotos
Page 1 of 6

Proodos Rogon

(Away)
08 Apr
Lefkimmi
5 : 3
Proodos Rogon
05 Apr
Proodos Rogon
7 : 5
Anagennisi Arta
01 Apr
Anthoupoli
2 : 0
Proodos Rogon
28 Mar
Nea Selefkia
1 : 0
Proodos Rogon
22 Mar
Proodos Rogon
1 : 2
Anagennisi Schimatariou
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elassona 24 11 10 3 31:19 43
2 Aris Filiaton 24 12 7 5 33:19 43
3 AO Trikala 24 11 10 3 35:18 43
4 Asteras Stavrou 24 11 7 6 36:28 40
5 Lamia 24 9 12 3 36:17 39
6 Tilikratis Lefkada 24 9 8 7 25:22 35
7 Anagennisi Arta 24 9 8 7 26:21 35
8 Lefkimmi 24 10 3 11 31:31 33
9 Anagennisi Schimatariou 24 9 5 10 25:24 32
10 Anthoupoli 24 7 6 11 21:29 27
11 Nea Selefkia 24 5 11 8 25:27 26
12 Proodos Rogon 23 4 6 13 30:40 18
13 Thesprotos 23 1 1 21 6:65 1
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 (Losers stage)