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Thimphu City vs Paro

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Chetrim K.
Own Goal
25' Event
Dorji T.
40' Event
Wangchuk P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Thimphu City
20%
Draws
46%
Paro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paro lately — more wins on the board than Thimphu City.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Paro taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Thimphu City Clean Sheet 12%
Paro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thimphu City Paro
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 20 25
Draws 5 3
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 3.24 3.84
Goals Conceded 1.14 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Premier League
Paro vs Thimphu City
0:0
Oct 20, 2025 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Paro
3:3
Jul 6, 2025 Premier League
Paro vs Thimphu City
2:1
Oct 20, 2024 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Paro
2:2
Jun 16, 2024 Premier League
Paro vs Thimphu City
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thimphu City Compare

Top Goalscorer Tshering D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Paro Compare

Top Goalscorer Wangchuk P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dorji T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thimphu City 10 / 100
Paro 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thimphu City Paro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thimphu City found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Thimphu City has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Paro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Thimphu City VS Paro
3.25 Goals Scored 2.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Thimphu City

(Home)
13 Sept
Thimphu City
6 : 0
Ugyen Academy
10 Sept
RTC
1 : 2
Thimphu City
21 Aug
Drukpa
2 : 2
Thimphu City
07 Aug
Tsirang
1 : 1
Thimphu City
29 Jul
Thimphu City
7 : 1
Tensung
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Paro

(Away)
12 Sept
Transport United
2 : 4
Paro
08 Sept
Ugyen Academy
0 : 10
Paro
26 Aug
Paro
7 : 0
Tsirang
20 Aug
Paro
1 : 0
RTC
11 Aug
Paro
2 : 0
Abu Muslim
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paro 18 16 1 1 74:17 49
2 Thimphu City 18 14 1 3 64:23 43
3 RTC 18 12 2 4 62:19 38
4 Transport United 18 11 1 6 46:27 34
5 BFF Academy U19 18 8 3 7 40:36 27
6 Ugyen Academy 18 8 1 9 38:41 25
7 Tsirang 18 4 4 10 21:42 16
8 Tensung 18 3 2 13 17:48 11
9 Southern City 18 3 1 14 15:59 10
10 Samtse 18 2 2 14 22:87 8
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