Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thionville vs Borgo

France France

National 2 - Group B 2025/2026 Stadium Plaine, Thionville
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Mizrahi J.
45' Event
Gouletquer A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 2 - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Thionville
35%
Draws
41%
Borgo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Borgo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Thionville have won more games recently than Borgo.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Thionville Clean Sheet 20%
Borgo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thionville Borgo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.72 1
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.90 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Borgo vs Thionville
3:0
Jan 17, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Thionville vs Borgo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thionville Compare

Top Goalscorer Gouletquer A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.95

Borgo Compare

Top Goalscorer Mizrahi J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thionville 36 / 100
Borgo 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thionville Borgo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Borgo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Thionville scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Borgo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Thionville has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thionville VS Borgo
2.63 Goals Scored 0.83
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.17
88% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Thionville

(Home)
26 Sept
Thionville
1 : 2
La Roche Vendee
19 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 1
Thionville
12 Sept
Thionville
0 : 4
Rouen
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2
Thionville
29 Aug
Thionville
1 : 1
Paris 13 Atletico
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Borgo

(Away)
19 Sept
Haguenau
0 : 1
Borgo
13 Sept
Borgo
1 : 3
Racing Club de France
06 Sept
Chambly
2 : 1
Borgo
28 Aug
Borgo
1 : 1
USLPV
22 Aug
Saint-Pryve
1 : 1
Borgo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thionville 30 18 6 6 53:36 60
2 Bourges 18 30 14 10 6 35:24 52
3 Haguenau 30 14 9 7 43:29 51
4 Feignies-Aulnoye 30 12 10 8 41:24 46
5 Furiani Agliani 30 13 6 11 45:40 45
6 Saint-Pryve 30 12 6 12 48:44 42
7 Dieppe 30 11 8 11 31:36 41
8 Borgo 30 11 7 12 32:37 40
9 Epinal 30 11 7 12 32:37 40
10 Biesheim 30 10 10 10 31:37 39
11 Colmar 30 9 11 10 41:43 37
12 Beauvais 30 9 11 10 39:42 35
13 Wasquehal 30 10 4 16 28:44 34
14 Chambly 30 9 10 11 35:35 34
15 Chantilly 30 6 9 15 32:42 27
16 Blois Foot 41 30 7 4 19 31:47 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)