Sport Picks

France

National 2 - Group B Stadium Plaine

Bourges 18

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Thionville play Bourges 18 in the National 2 - Group B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Thionville averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Bourges 18 averaged 1.1 goals scored and 0.76 conceded. In past meetings, Thionville won 0, Bourges 18 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Thionville and 1.25 for Bourges 18. This points to a Thionville double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Thionville

30%

Draws

34%

Bourges 18

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Thionville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Thionville picked up more points recently compared to Bourges 18.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 47%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Thionville Clean Sheet 19%

Bourges 18 Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Thionville	Bourges 18
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	17	13
Draws	6	10
Losses	6	6
Goals Scored	1.86	1.1
Goals Conceded	1.31	0.76
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 National 2 - Group B

Thionville vs Bourges 18

Possession: 58% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

1:4

Feb 28, 2026 National 2 - Group B

Bourges 18 vs Thionville

Possession: 59% - 47% Cards: 0 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thionville Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouhmidi K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Bourges 18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndoye M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Yenoussi G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thionville 36 / 100

Bourges 18 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Thionville Bourges 18

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Thionville or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.7%

2.44

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Thionville attacking → ← attacking Bourges 18

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thionville scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Bourges 18 let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Thionville went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Bourges 18 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 49

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Thionville	30	18	6	6	53:36	60
2	Bourges 18	30	14	10	6	35:24	52
3	Haguenau	30	14	9	7	43:29	51
4	Feignies-Aulnoye	30	12	10	8	41:24	46
5	Furiani Agliani	30	13	6	11	45:40	45
6	Saint-Pryve	30	12	6	12	48:44	42
7	Dieppe	30	11	8	11	31:36	41
8	Borgo	30	11	7	12	32:37	40
9	Epinal	30	11	7	12	32:37	40
10	Biesheim	30	10	10	10	31:37	39
11	Colmar	30	9	11	10	41:43	37
12	Beauvais	30	9	11	10	39:42	35
13	Wasquehal	30	10	4	16	28:44	34
14	Chambly	30	9	10	11	35:35	34
15	Chantilly	30	6	9	15	32:42	27
16	Blois Foot 41	30	7	4	19	31:47	25