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Stadium Background

Thionville vs Haguenau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 2 - Group B 2025/2026 Stadium Plaine, Thionville
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Bur Q.
34' Event
Gomes Y.
68' Event
Colin M.

AI Match Summary

Haguenau in this National 2 - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Haguenau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Thionville
20%
Draws
60%
Haguenau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Haguenau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Haguenau lately — more wins on the board than Thionville.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Thionville Clean Sheet 24%
Haguenau Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thionville Haguenau
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.69 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Thionville vs Haguenau
1:3
Aug 30, 2025 National 1 - Group B
Haguenau vs Thionville
1:2
Apr 26, 2025 National 1 - Group C
Haguenau vs Thionville
4:1
Dec 14, 2024 National 1 - Group C
Thionville vs Haguenau
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thionville Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Haguenau Compare

Top Goalscorer Bur Q.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomes Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thionville 37 / 100
Haguenau 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thionville Haguenau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haguenau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Thionville scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Haguenau let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Haguenau lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thionville VS Haguenau
2.25 Goals Scored 0.86
1 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Thionville

(Home)
03 Oct
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 0
Thionville
26 Sept
Thionville
1 : 2
La Roche Vendee
19 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 1
Thionville
12 Sept
Thionville
0 : 4
Rouen
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2
Thionville
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Haguenau

(Away)
03 Oct
Furiani Agliani
5 : 1
Haguenau
19 Sept
Haguenau
0 : 1
Borgo
12 Sept
Epinal
0 : 2
Haguenau
05 Sept
Haguenau
0 : 1
Racing Club de France
29 Aug
Chantilly
1 : 3
Haguenau
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thionville 30 18 6 6 53:36 60
2 Bourges 18 30 14 10 6 35:24 52
3 Haguenau 30 14 9 7 43:29 51
4 Feignies-Aulnoye 30 12 10 8 41:24 46
5 Furiani Agliani 30 13 6 11 45:40 45
6 Saint-Pryve 30 12 6 12 48:44 42
7 Dieppe 30 11 8 11 31:36 41
8 Borgo 30 11 7 12 32:37 40
9 Epinal 30 11 7 12 32:37 40
10 Biesheim 30 10 10 10 31:37 39
11 Colmar 30 9 11 10 41:43 37
12 Beauvais 30 9 11 10 39:42 35
13 Wasquehal 30 10 4 16 28:44 34
14 Chambly 30 9 10 11 35:35 34
15 Chantilly 30 6 9 15 32:42 27
16 Blois Foot 41 30 7 4 19 31:47 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)