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Thisted FC vs Roskilde - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Madsen S.
90' Event
Hammelboe M.

AI Match Summary

The 2nd Division game between Thisted FC and Roskilde finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Roskilde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Thisted FC
20%
Draws
63%
Roskilde
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Roskilde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Thisted FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Roskilde are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Thisted FC Clean Sheet 10%
Roskilde Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thisted FC Roskilde
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 13 12
Draws 2 11
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.53 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 2nd Division
Thisted FC vs Roskilde
0:2
May 29, 2026 2nd Division
Thisted FC vs Roskilde
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 2nd Division
Roskilde vs Thisted FC
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 2nd Division
Roskilde vs Thisted FC
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 2nd Division
Thisted FC vs Roskilde
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thisted FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Roskilde Compare

Top Goalscorer Madsen S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hammelboe M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thisted FC 10 / 100
Roskilde 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thisted FC Roskilde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roskilde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roskilde has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Attacking prowess: Thisted FC scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Thisted FC has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thisted FC VS Roskilde
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thisted FC

(Home)
04 Oct
Thisted FC
0 : 2
Roskilde
26 Sept
Boldklubben 1893
1 : 0
Thisted FC
20 Sept
Thisted FC
3 : 1
Brabrand
13 Sept
Naestved IF
3 : 1
Thisted FC
06 Sept
Thisted FC
0 : 3
Nykobing
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Roskilde

(Away)
04 Oct
Thisted FC
0 : 2
Roskilde
25 Sept
Hellerup
1 : 1
Roskilde
18 Sept
Roskilde
5 : 1
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
13 Sept
Brabrand
1 : 1
Roskilde
09 Sept
BK Frem
1 : 2
Roskilde
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nykobing 10 6 4 0 25:11 22
2 Roskilde 10 4 6 0 18:10 18
3 VSK Aarhus 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
4 Middelfart 10 4 5 1 18:10 17
5 Boldklubben 1893 10 4 3 3 16:13 15
6 Naestved IF 10 3 6 1 14:12 15
7 Skive 10 4 2 4 13:12 14
8 Fremad Amager 10 3 5 2 13:15 14
9 Brabrand 10 2 3 5 12:18 9
10 Hellerup 10 2 2 6 8:18 8
11 Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 10 1 2 7 10:22 5
12 Thisted FC 10 1 1 8 8:21 4
Promotion - 2nd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 2nd Division (Relegation Group)