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Thisted FC vs VSK Aarhus Prediction & H2H Stats

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thisted FC host VSK Aarhus in the 2nd Division. This one's hard to separate. VSK Aarhus have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Thisted FC have conceded 1.62 and scored 1.28. Past meetings favor VSK Aarhus slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.81, favoring VSK Aarhus. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Thisted FC
20%
Draws
50%
VSK Aarhus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: VSK Aarhus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • VSK Aarhus have won more games recently than Thisted FC.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Thisted FC Clean Sheet 11%
VSK Aarhus Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thisted FC VSK Aarhus
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 2 11
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.28 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.62 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 2nd Division
VSK Aarhus vs Thisted FC
3:1
Mar 7, 2026 2nd Division
VSK Aarhus vs Thisted FC
0:0
Aug 16, 2025 2nd Division
Thisted FC vs VSK Aarhus
2:2
Mar 5, 2022 Club Friendly
Thisted FC vs VSK Aarhus
1:2
Aug 31, 2021 Betano Pokalen
VSK Aarhus vs Thisted FC
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thisted FC 30 / 100
VSK Aarhus 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thisted FC VSK Aarhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VSK Aarhus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

VSK Aarhus has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Thisted FC found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Thisted FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thisted FC VS VSK Aarhus
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thisted FC

(Home)
26 Sept
Boldklubben 1893
1 : 0
Thisted FC
20 Sept
Thisted FC
3 : 1
Brabrand
13 Sept
Naestved IF
3 : 1
Thisted FC
06 Sept
Thisted FC
0 : 3
Nykobing
03 Sept
Thisted FC
0 : 2
Sonderjyske
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VSK Aarhus

(Away)
26 Sept
VSK Aarhus
1 : 0
Skive
19 Sept
Middelfart
1 : 1
VSK Aarhus
13 Sept
VSK Aarhus
2 : 2
Boldklubben 1893
09 Sept
VSK Aarhus
0 : 2
Lyngby
05 Sept
Roskilde
1 : 0
VSK Aarhus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nykobing 10 6 4 0 25:11 22
2 VSK Aarhus 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
3 Roskilde 9 3 6 0 16:10 15
4 Boldklubben 1893 10 4 3 3 16:13 15
5 Naestved IF 10 3 6 1 14:12 15
6 Middelfart 9 3 5 1 17:10 14
7 Fremad Amager 10 3 5 2 13:15 14
8 Skive 9 3 2 4 11:12 11
9 Brabrand 10 2 3 5 12:18 9
10 Hellerup 9 2 2 5 8:16 8
11 Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 9 1 2 6 10:21 5
12 Thisted FC 9 1 1 7 8:19 4
Promotion - 2nd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 2nd Division (Relegation Group)