Sport Picks

Denmark

Elitedivisionen Women 2019/2020

VSK Aarhus W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Thisted FC W play VSK Aarhus W in the Elitedivisionen Women 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Thisted FC W averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. VSK Aarhus W averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Thisted FC W won 2, VSK Aarhus W won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 6, 2020 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Thisted FC W and 1.00 for VSK Aarhus W. This points to a Thisted FC W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

Thisted FC W

23%

Draws

36%

VSK Aarhus W

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Thisted FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Thisted FC W picked up more points recently compared to VSK Aarhus W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Thisted FC W Clean Sheet 23%

VSK Aarhus W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Thisted FC W	VSK Aarhus W
Matches Played	34	28
Wins	14	11
Draws	5	5
Losses	15	12
Goals Scored	1.38	1.82
Goals Conceded	1.71	1.93

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2020 A-Liga Women

VSK Aarhus W vs Thisted FC W

Possession: 59% - 56% Cards: 2 - 0

1:3

May 30, 2020 A-Liga Women

Thisted FC W vs VSK Aarhus W

Possession: 49% - 49% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Sep 21, 2019 A-Liga Women

Thisted FC W vs VSK Aarhus W

Possession: 45% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

2:2

Aug 24, 2019 A-Liga Women

VSK Aarhus W vs Thisted FC W

Possession: 50% - 47% Cards: 1 - 0

0:2

May 11, 2019 A-Liga Women

Thisted FC W vs VSK Aarhus W

Possession: 55% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thisted FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcussen B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Dyrehauge S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

VSK Aarhus W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nielsen M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Holdt O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thisted FC W 42 / 100

VSK Aarhus W 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Thisted FC W VSK Aarhus W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Thisted FC W or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Thisted FC W attacking → ← attacking VSK Aarhus W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thisted FC W scored in 68% of their last 34 games.

VSK Aarhus W let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Thisted FC W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

VSK Aarhus W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 38

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Fortuna Hjorring W	14	9	3	2	38:17	30
2	Brondby W	14	9	2	3	50:20	29
3	Nordsjaelland W	14	8	2	4	29:14	26
4	Thisted FC W	14	5	6	3	34:28	21
5	VSK Aarhus W	14	6	3	5	25:21	21
6	KoldingQ W	14	4	3	7	14:30	15
7	Odense W	14	3	1	10	24:49	10
8	BSF W	14	1	2	11	12:47	5