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Thitsar Arman vs Dagon

Myanmar Myanmar

National League Yangon United Sports Complex, Yangon
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Match Events

11' Event
Moukailou K.
41' Event
Aung Shine Wanna
75' Event
Aung Shine Wanna

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Thitsar Arman
35%
Draws
34%
Dagon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Very High Confidence
  • Dagon have won more games recently than Thitsar Arman.
  • Model gives Thitsar Arman a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Dagon have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Thitsar Arman Clean Sheet 12%
Dagon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thitsar Arman Dagon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 13 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2026 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Dagon
2:2
Aug 19, 2025 National League
Dagon vs Thitsar Arman
2:0
Jan 27, 2025 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Dagon
1:2
Jul 6, 2024 National League
Dagon vs Thitsar Arman
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thitsar Arman Compare

Top Goalscorer Aung Shine Wanna
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Dagon Compare

Top Goalscorer Moukailou K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wai H. P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thitsar Arman 56 / 100
Dagon 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thitsar Arman Dagon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thitsar Arman found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Thitsar Arman has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Dagon conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Thitsar Arman VS Dagon
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thitsar Arman

(Home)
17 Mar
Yarmanya United
0 : 5
Thitsar Arman
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
26 Feb
Thitsar Arman
0 : 0
Ayeyawady
20 Feb
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon Port
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Dagon

(Away)
18 Mar
Yangon United
4 : 0
Dagon
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
03 Mar
Dagon
1 : 0
Mahar United
24 Feb
Dagon
1 : 0
Rakhine United
19 Feb
Dagon
2 : 1
Yadanarbon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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