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Thitsar Arman vs Hantharwady United

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026 Yangon United Sports Complex, Yangon
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Match Events

4' Event
Aung P.
(Penalty)
16' Event
Arkar
22' Event
Aung Than Toe

AI Match Summary

Hantharwady United in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hantharwady United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Thitsar Arman
35%
Draws
12%
Hantharwady United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Thitsar Arman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Hantharwady United have won more games recently than Thitsar Arman.
  • Model gives Thitsar Arman a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Thitsar Arman Clean Sheet 20%
Hantharwady United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thitsar Arman Hantharwady United
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 9 11
Draws 15 10
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Hantharwady United
2:2
Jan 11, 2026 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Hantharwady United
1:2
Aug 24, 2025 National League
Hantharwady United vs Thitsar Arman
0:0
Feb 3, 2025 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Hantharwady United
1:0
Jul 14, 2024 National League
Hantharwady United vs Thitsar Arman
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thitsar Arman Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Hantharwady United Compare

Top Goalscorer Arkar
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aung Than Toe
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thitsar Arman 85 / 100
Hantharwady United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thitsar Arman Hantharwady United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thitsar Arman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thitsar Arman found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Solid form: Thitsar Arman remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Hantharwady United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Thitsar Arman VS Hantharwady United
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Thitsar Arman

(Home)
05 Sept
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Hantharwady United
28 Aug
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Myawady
17 Mar
Yarmanya United
0 : 5
Thitsar Arman
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
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Hantharwady United

(Away)
05 Sept
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Hantharwady United
29 Aug
Dagon
2 : 0
Hantharwady United
18 Mar
Shan United
1 : 0
Hantharwady United
11 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 0
Rakhine United
04 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 4
Yangon United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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