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Thitsar Arman vs Ispe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Myanmar Myanmar

National League Yangon United Sports Complex, Yangon
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thitsar Arman host Ispe in the National League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Ispe have shipped 1.97 goals a game lately, while Thitsar Arman have conceded 1.74 and scored 1.87. Past meetings favor Thitsar Arman slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 4, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (2.13 - 1.44) back Ispe to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Thitsar Arman
30%
Draws
28%
Ispe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Thitsar Arman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ispe come out ahead of Thitsar Arman on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Thitsar Arman's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Thitsar Arman Clean Sheet 16%
Ispe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thitsar Arman Ispe
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 11
Draws 15 8
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.87 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Ispe
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 National League
Ispe vs Thitsar Arman
3:2
Feb 20, 2025 National League
Ispe vs Thitsar Arman
0:5
Sep 14, 2024 National League
Thitsar Arman vs Ispe
1:4
May 3, 2024 MNL League Cup
Thitsar Arman vs Ispe
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thitsar Arman 75 / 100
Ispe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thitsar Arman Ispe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thitsar Arman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thitsar Arman found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Ispe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Thitsar Arman stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thitsar Arman VS Ispe
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Thitsar Arman

(Home)
05 Sept
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Hantharwady United
28 Aug
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Myawady
17 Mar
Yarmanya United
0 : 5
Thitsar Arman
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
Page 1 of 7

Ispe

(Away)
07 Sept
Ispe
2 : 4
Mahar United
29 Aug
Ayeyawady
2 : 1
Ispe
16 Mar
Rakhine United
1 : 2
Ispe
11 Mar
Ispe
2 : 1
Dagon Port
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagon 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Yangon United 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
3 Shan United 2 1 1 0 6:2 4
4 Yadanarbon 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Mahar United 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
6 Ayeyawady 2 1 0 1 2:6 3
7 Thitsar Arman 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
8 Yangon Royals 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
9 Hantharwady United 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
10 Ispe 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
11 Myawady 2 0 1 1 2:6 1
12 Chinland 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
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