Sport Picks

Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2024/2025

Rethymniakos

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Thiva F.C. play Rethymniakos in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Thiva F.C. averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Rethymniakos averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. In past meetings, Thiva F.C. won 1, Rethymniakos won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 12, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.38 for Thiva F.C. and 1.38 for Rethymniakos. This points to a Thiva F.C. double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Thiva F.C.

15%

Draws

34%

Rethymniakos

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thiva F.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Thiva F.C. picked up more points recently compared to Rethymniakos.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.38 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Thiva F.C. Clean Sheet 17%

Rethymniakos Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Thiva F.C.	Rethymniakos
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	6	4
Draws	5	4
Losses	19	22
Goals Scored	0.87	0.8
Goals Conceded	1.77	2.4
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Thiva F.C. vs Rethymniakos

Possession: 49% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Oct 26, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

Rethymniakos vs Thiva F.C.

Possession: 47% - 58% Cards: 3 - 4

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thiva F.C. 49 / 100

Rethymniakos 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Thiva F.C. Rethymniakos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Thiva F.C. or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18.8%

2.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Thiva F.C. attacking → ← attacking Rethymniakos

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thiva F.C. scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Rethymniakos let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Thiva F.C. went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Rethymniakos lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 16

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Marko	32	22	8	2	61:22	74
2	Ethnikos Piraeus	32	22	7	3	62:20	73
3	Nea Ionia	32	20	7	5	54:25	67
4	Chaidari	32	15	9	8	36:24	54
5	Aris Petroupolis	32	15	7	10	39:31	52
6	Atsalenios FC	32	14	6	12	43:43	48
7	Giouchtas	32	14	5	13	39:40	47
8	AO Ilisiakos	32	14	5	13	50:41	47
9	Asteras Kaisarianis	32	13	8	11	32:24	47
10	Kyanos Astir Varis	32	12	9	11	40:33	45
11	Thyella Diastavroseos	32	11	11	10	34:32	44
12	Agios Nikolaos	32	13	5	14	34:36	44
13	Karavas	32	7	6	19	27:58	27
14	Mandraikos	32	6	8	18	34:51	26
15	Thiva F.C.	32	7	5	20	27:55	26
16	AO Tympakiou	32	5	6	21	33:60	21
17	Rethymniakos	32	4	4	24	25:75	16