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Tho Mayas vs Chilpancingo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Liga Premier Serie B 2022/2023
Tho Mayas Logo

Tho Mayas

1 - 0
FT
Chilpancingo Logo

Chilpancingo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tho Mayas in this Liga Premier Serie B 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tho Mayas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Tho Mayas
35%
Draws
41%
Chilpancingo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chilpancingo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Chilpancingo have won more games recently than Tho Mayas.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie B 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tho Mayas Clean Sheet 16%
Chilpancingo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tho Mayas Chilpancingo
Matches Played 26 36
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 10
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.54 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2023 Liga Premier Serie B
Tho Mayas vs Chilpancingo
1:0
Oct 1, 2022 Liga Premier Serie B
Chilpancingo vs Tho Mayas
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tho Mayas 30 / 100
Chilpancingo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tho Mayas Chilpancingo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tho Mayas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chilpancingo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 36 outings.

Tho Mayas found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (26 games).

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Tho Mayas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chilpancingo
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tho Mayas

(Home)
22 Apr
Tho Mayas
1 : 3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
16 Apr
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
3 : 3
Tho Mayas
08 Apr
Tho Mayas
0 : 0
Pioneros
01 Apr
Pioneros
1 : 1
Tho Mayas
25 Mar
Tho Mayas
2 : 0
Mazorqueros
Page 1 of 6

Chilpancingo

(Away)
11 Apr
Ciervos
1 : 2
Chilpancingo
28 Mar
Chilpancingo
2 : 1
Correcaminos 2
22 Mar
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0
Chilpancingo
14 Mar
Chilpancingo
1 : 1
Zitacuaro
06 Mar
Atletico Hidalgo
0 : 1
Chilpancingo
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calor De San Pedro 10 7 2 1 20:5 24
2 Tho Mayas 10 6 3 1 17:6 23
3 Pioneros 10 6 2 2 18:6 20
4 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 10 5 2 3 19:4 17
5 Chilpancingo 10 5 2 3 14:12 16
6 Huracanes Izcalli 10 4 2 4 15:15 15
7 Mazorqueros 10 4 1 5 13:13 15
8 Zitacuaro 10 3 4 3 15:12 12
9 Atl. Angelopolis 10 3 0 7 8:26 9
10 Ciervos 10 1 1 8 14:30 6
11 Canoneros FC 10 1 1 8 9:33 4
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2022/2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)