Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thonon-Evian vs Ales

France France

National 2 - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Balmy J.
71' Event
Chaibi M. I.
85' Event
Betra F.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 game between Thonon-Evian and Ales finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thonon-Evian.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Thonon-Evian
30%
Draws
58%
Ales
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ales

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ales come out ahead of Thonon-Evian on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ales a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Thonon-Evian have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Thonon-Evian Clean Sheet 20%
Ales Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thonon-Evian Ales
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Thonon-Evian vs Ales
2:1
Oct 21, 2023 National 1 - Group A
Ales vs Thonon-Evian
0:2
Mar 25, 2023 National 1 - Group C
Ales vs Thonon-Evian
3:1
Oct 22, 2022 National 1 - Group C
Thonon-Evian vs Ales
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thonon-Evian Compare

Top Goalscorer Chaibi M. I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Radojevic J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Ales Compare

Top Goalscorer Betra F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thonon-Evian 20 / 100
Ales 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thonon-Evian Ales

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thonon-Evian's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ales let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Solid form: Thonon-Evian remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Thonon-Evian VS Ales
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Thonon-Evian

(Home)
16 Nov
Saint-Cyr Collonges
1 : 0
Thonon-Evian
23 Jul
Villefranche
0 : 0
Thonon-Evian
26 Jul
Thonon-Evian
0 : 2
Paris FC
18 May
Cannes
2 : 1
Thonon-Evian
11 May
Thonon-Evian
1 : 1
Aubagne FC
Page 1 of 6

Ales

(Away)
30 Nov
Ales
1 : 5
Cannes
16 Nov
Ales
4 : 2
Beaucairois
18 May
Bourgoin Jallieu
0 : 0
Ales
11 May
Ales
2 : 1
Toulouse II
27 Apr
Chamalieres
0 : 2
Ales
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aubagne FC 26 14 10 2 33:17 52
2 Le Puy-en-Velay 26 12 10 4 39:24 46
3 RC Grasse 26 10 12 4 31:21 42
4 Jura Sud 26 10 11 5 34:23 41
5 Cannes 26 9 13 4 41:21 40
6 Hyeres 26 9 10 7 37:22 37
7 Frejus Saint Raphael 26 8 12 6 25:19 36
8 Toulon 26 9 8 9 30:29 35
9 Andrezieux 26 9 7 10 26:28 34
10 Ales 26 7 8 11 23:39 29
11 Thonon-Evian 26 7 7 12 27:35 28
12 Chamalieres 26 5 11 10 26:40 26
13 Bourgoin Jallieu 26 4 9 13 24:43 21
14 Toulouse II 26 1 8 17 24:59 11
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