Sport Picks

France

Coupe de France 2023/2024

Thonon-Evian

Sat, Nov 18, 2023

3 - 2

03:00 PM

Aubagne FC

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Vialla T.

49'

58'

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Coupe de France 2023/2024 game between Thonon-Evian and Aubagne FC finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thonon-Evian.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Thonon-Evian

30%

Draws

34%

Aubagne FC

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Thonon-Evian

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Aubagne FC carry the better recent record into this one.
36% — that's where the model lands on Thonon-Evian taking it.
Regular Coupe de France 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 28%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Thonon-Evian Clean Sheet 20%

Aubagne FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Thonon-Evian	Aubagne FC
Matches Played	31	39
Wins	9	12
Draws	7	11
Losses	15	16
Goals Scored	0	0.88
Goals Conceded	0	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 National 2 - Group A

Thonon-Evian vs Aubagne FC

Possession: 43% - 57% Cards: 0 - 1

1:1

Jan 13, 2024 National 2 - Group A

Aubagne FC vs Thonon-Evian

Possession: 40% - 48% Cards: 2 - 0

2:1

Nov 18, 2023 Coupe de France

Thonon-Evian vs Aubagne FC

Possession: 47% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

3:2

Apr 22, 2023 National 2 - Group C

Thonon-Evian vs Aubagne FC

Possession: 42% - 53% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Nov 26, 2022 National 2 - Group C

Aubagne FC vs Thonon-Evian

Possession: 56% - 59% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thonon-Evian Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Aubagne FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Vialla T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thonon-Evian 36 / 100

Aubagne FC 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Thonon-Evian Aubagne FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aubagne FC let in goals in 85% of their last 39 matches.

Thonon-Evian's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Aubagne FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aubagne FC

0 Goals Scored 0.88

0 Goals Conceded 1.25

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals

Montlouis0

Bergerac4

Morlaas Est-Bearn0

Panazol1

Jeunesse Villenavaise1

JA Isle0

Aizenay1

Libourne2

Sarre Union1

APM Metz0

Colmar0

Pontarlier1

TBD-

Lyon-

Bleriot Plage1

ASPTT Dijon0

Camon2

Chambly5

Villers Houlgate4

Equeurd Hainnev0

Laon US1

Racing Club de France2

Lille-

TBD-

Samaritaine0

Golden Lion1

Le Quesnoy1

Troyenne4

Metz-

TBD-

Clermont-

US Noeux Les Mines2

Avoine3

Le Geldar3

Agouado0

TBD-

Strasbourg-

Stade Briochin4

Concarneau3

Les Herbiers2

Avranches1

Douvres2

Choisy Au Bac1

Chateauroux2

Red Star1

Le Havre-

TBD-

RC Calais2

Longueau1

Loon Plage0

Caen3

Macon1

Louhans Cuiseaux2

Cosne US1

Chantilly0

Pontivy2

Plougastel0

Stade Pontivyen1

Rouen2

Chambery1

De Volvic0

Villefranche1

Grenoble2

TBD-

Toulouse-

Paimpol2

Flers1

Plabennec1

Challans2

Stade Mayennais1

Aunis Avenir0

Liffre0

Rodez3

Lens-

TBD-

Monaco-

Hauts Lyonnais2

Neuville0

Feurs2

Espaly1

Roche Saint-Genest1

Saint Priest2

Limonest0

Domerat1

Stade Poitevin0

US Castanet3

Auch0

Romorantin4

Moulien3

Baie Mahault1

Torcy0

Fleury-Merogis1

Jarville2

Sarreguemines4

Villerupt Thil0

Biesheim2

Mulhouse2

Jura Dolois1

Haguenau0

Valenciennes2

Velay1

Martigues3

Ales6

Rosador1

Villejuif2

Paris FC3

Tamponnaise2

Saint-Denis3

Toulouse Metropole1

AC Ajaccio4

Lavernose Lherm0

Orleans4

Bourg Peronnas0

St Etienne3

Roannais1

Nimes3

Guerande St. Aubin0

US Revel3

Blagnac1

Bayonne0

TBD-

PSG-

AS-Fabregues3

Valincu2

Cannes2

Bourgoin Jallieu1

Bassin d'Arcachon2

Saumur Olympique1

Etoile Maritime2

Trelissac3

Brest-

TBD-

Plessis Robinson2

Brissac1

Houilles0

Angers2

Itancourt Neuville3

IC Croix2

FC Bondues0

Feignies-Aulnoye1

Montdidier0

Quevilly4

Doullens0

Dijon6

Schweighouse2

Thaon3

Hombourg-Haut0

Amiens SC3

TBD-

Montpellier-

St. Michel0

Sannois2

Noisy Le Sec0

Furiani Agliani2

Vierzon Foot0

Angouleme CFC1

Canet Roussillon1

Bordeaux2

Nice-

TBD-

Saint-Meziery1

Pirae0

USLPV0

Auxerre1

Lyon - La Duchere4

Bastia1

Thonon-Evian3

Aubagne FC2

Chaponnay-Marennes1

Hyeres0

Le Puy-en-Velay2

FC Seyssins0

Saint-Omer2

Saint Denis U.S.1

Epinal2

Troyes1

Reims Ste Anne2

Boulogne1

Football Club de Chaumont0

Dunkerque1

Coulaines2

Cholet1

Chauray0

Pau1

TBD-

Nantes-

SU Dives2

Dieppe3

Ergue-Gaberic3

St. Renan1

Saint-Philbert2

Le Poire Sur Vie0

Provin0

Laval5

Forbach0

Geispolsheim1

Sochaux2

Jura Sud1

TBD-

Lorient-

Dinan3

TA Rennes1

Chateaugiron0

Vitre6

TBD-

Reims-

Caennaise2

Fougeres1

Saint-Malo2

Guingamp3

TBD-

Rennes-

Hienghene Sport0

Thionville4

Fosseenne1

Annecy2

TBD-

Marseille-

1/64-finals

Bergerac4

Panazol2

Jeunesse Villenavaise2

Libourne4

Sarre Union0

Pontarlier1

TBD-

Lyon-

Bleriot Plage0

Chambly3

Villers Houlgate1

Racing Club de France3

Lille-

TBD-

Golden Lion3

Troyenne2

Metz-

TBD-

Clermont-

Avoine4

Le Geldar1

TBD-

Strasbourg-

Stade Briochin1

Les Herbiers2

Douvres1

Chateauroux5

Le Havre-

TBD-

RC Calais1

Caen4

Louhans Cuiseaux3

Cosne US2

Pontivy0

Rouen1

Chambery2

Grenoble1

TBD-

Toulouse-

Paimpol1

Challans2

Stade Mayennais0

Rodez9

Lens-

TBD-

Monaco-

Hauts Lyonnais0

Feurs3

Saint Priest3

Domerat0

US Castanet0

Romorantin3

Moulien2

Fleury-Merogis1

Sarreguemines3

Biesheim0

Mulhouse1

Valenciennes2

Martigues1

Ales2

Paris FC3

Saint-Denis1

AC Ajaccio1

Orleans2

St Etienne0

Nimes1

US Revel2

Blagnac1

TBD-

PSG-

AS-Fabregues3

Cannes2

Bassin d'Arcachon0

Trelissac2

Brest-

TBD-

Plessis Robinson1

Angers2

Itancourt Neuville2

Feignies-Aulnoye3

Quevilly3

Dijon1

Thaon0

Amiens SC1

TBD-

Montpellier-

Sannois1

Furiani Agliani0

Angouleme CFC0

Bordeaux1

Nice-

TBD-

Saint-Meziery1

Auxerre4

Lyon - La Duchere2

Thonon-Evian1

Chaponnay-Marennes0

Le Puy-en-Velay3

Saint-Omer2

Epinal1

Reims Ste Anne-

Dunkerque-

Coulaines1

Pau5

TBD-

Nantes-

Dieppe2

Ergue-Gaberic0

Saint-Philbert1

Laval2

Geispolsheim0

Sochaux4

TBD-

Lorient-

Dinan2

Vitre0

TBD-

Reims-

Caennaise0

Guingamp1

TBD-

Rennes-

Thionville2

Annecy1

TBD-

Marseille-

1/32-finals

Bergerac2

Libourne1

Pontarlier0

Lyon3

Chambly1

Racing Club de France2

Lille12

Golden Lion0

Metz1

Clermont2

Avoine0

Strasbourg4

Les Herbiers2

Chateauroux3

Le Havre2

Caen1

Louhans Cuiseaux0

Rouen2

Chambery0

Toulouse3

Challans0

Rodez4

Lens2

Monaco3

Feurs3

Saint Priest5

Romorantin4

Moulien0

Sarreguemines0

Valenciennes2

Ales1

Paris FC2

Orleans2

Nimes1

US Revel0

PSG9

AS-Fabregues1

Trelissac4

Brest1

Angers0

Feignies-Aulnoye1

Quevilly0

Amiens SC1

Montpellier2

Sannois1

Bordeaux2

Nice1

Auxerre0

Lyon - La Duchere1

Le Puy-en-Velay2

Saint-Omer2

Dunkerque3

Pau1

Nantes4

Dieppe0

Laval4

Sochaux2

Lorient1

Dinan0

Reims3

Guingamp0

Rennes2

Thionville0

Marseille1

1/16-finals

Bergerac1

Lyon2

Racing Club de France0

Lille1

Clermont1

Strasbourg3

Chateauroux0

Le Havre1

Rouen4

Toulouse3

Rodez1

Monaco3

Saint Priest4

Romorantin1

Valenciennes2

Paris FC1

Orleans1

PSG4

Trelissac1

Brest2

Feignies-Aulnoye0

Montpellier4

Bordeaux2

Nice3

Le Puy-en-Velay2

Dunkerque1

Nantes0

Laval1

Sochaux3

Reims2

Rennes2

Marseille1

1/8-finals

Lyon2

Lille1

Strasbourg3

Le Havre1

Rouen2

Monaco1

Saint Priest1

Valenciennes2

PSG3

Brest1

Montpellier1

Nice4

Le Puy-en-Velay2

Laval1

Sochaux1

Rennes6

Quarter-finals

Lyon1

Strasbourg0

Rouen1

Valenciennes2

PSG3

Nice1

Le Puy-en-Velay1

Rennes3

Semi-finals

Lyon3

Valenciennes0

PSG1

Rennes0

Final

Lyon1

PSG2