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Thonon Evian W vs Marseille W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly Women matchup, with the score ending 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Thonon Evian W
30%
Draws
51%
Marseille W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marseille W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marseille W lately — more wins on the board than Thonon Evian W.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Marseille W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Thonon Evian W Clean Sheet 10%
Marseille W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thonon Evian W Marseille W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Marseille W vs Thonon Evian W
6:1
Jul 31, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Thonon Evian W vs Marseille W
4:4
Jan 10, 2026 Coupe de France Women
Thonon Evian W vs Marseille W
0:1
Feb 15, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Marseille W vs Thonon Evian W
5:0
Oct 20, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Marseille W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thonon Evian W 10 / 100
Marseille W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thonon Evian W Marseille W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marseille W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thonon Evian W's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Marseille W conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Thonon Evian W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thonon Evian W VS Marseille W
2.63 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Thonon Evian W

(Home)
04 Oct
Cannes W
1 : 0
Thonon Evian W
26 Sept
Marseille W
6 : 1
Thonon Evian W
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
06 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 1
St Etienne W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Toulouse W
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Marseille W

(Away)
03 Oct
Strasbourg W
3 : 3
Marseille W
26 Sept
Marseille W
6 : 1
Thonon Evian W
19 Sept
Montpellier W
0 : 0
Marseille W
12 Sept
Marseille W
2 : 1
Lens W
05 Sept
Marseille W
1 : 0
Le Havre W
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