Sport Picks

France

Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026

Thonon Evian W

Sun, Nov 16, 2025

1 - 0

12:00 PM

Nice W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Thonon Evian W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Thonon Evian W

30%

Draws

19%

Nice W

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Thonon Evian W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Thonon Evian W come out ahead of Nice W on wins alone.
51% — that's where the model lands on Thonon Evian W taking it.
Thonon Evian W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Thonon Evian W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Thonon Evian W Clean Sheet 16%

Nice W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Thonon Evian W	Nice W
Matches Played	31	28
Wins	13	9
Draws	7	4
Losses	11	15
Goals Scored	1.68	1.29
Goals Conceded	1.48	1.71
Expected Goals (xG)	2.44	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women

Nice W vs Thonon Evian W

2:1

Nov 19, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women

Thonon Evian W vs Nice W

3:0

Nov 16, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women

Thonon Evian W vs Nice W

1:0

Mar 16, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women

Nice W vs Thonon Evian W

3:1

Oct 13, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women

Thonon Evian W vs Nice W

0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thonon Evian W 84 / 100

Nice W 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Thonon Evian W Nice W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thonon Evian W Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Thonon Evian W scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Nice W let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Thonon Evian W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Thonon Evian W VS Nice W

2.5 Goals Scored 1.13

1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Thonon Evian W

(Home)

06 Sept

Thonon Evian W

1 : 1

St Etienne W

29 Aug

Thonon Evian W

1 : 0

Toulouse W

22 Aug

Cannes W

4 : 5

Thonon Evian W

31 Jul

Thonon Evian W

4 : 4

Marseille W

24 May

Thonon Evian W

3 : 1

Rodez AF W

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Nice W

(Away)

13 Sept

Auxerre W

2 : 0

Nice W

06 Sept

Nice W

1 : 1

Cannes W

29 Aug

Nice W

3 : 2

Lille W

22 Aug

Nice W

1 : 2

Lens W

16 Aug

Cannes W

3 : 1

Nice W

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