Sport Picks

France

Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026

Thonon Evian W

3 - 2

St Etienne W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Thonon Evian W in this Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Thonon Evian W

30%

Draws

43%

St Etienne W

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St Etienne W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence

Thonon Evian W have won more games recently than St Etienne W.
Win probability leans St Etienne W's way, sitting at 90%.
Thonon Evian W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor St Etienne W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Thonon Evian W Clean Sheet 14%

St Etienne W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Thonon Evian W	St Etienne W
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	13	8
Draws	6	6
Losses	10	16
Goals Scored	1.69	1
Goals Conceded	1.59	1.67
Expected Goals (xG)	1.94	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women

Thonon Evian W vs St Etienne W

1:1

Oct 11, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women

Thonon Evian W vs St Etienne W

3:2

Aug 23, 2025 Club Friendly Women

Thonon Evian W vs St Etienne W

1:1

Apr 23, 2023 Seconde Ligue Women

St Etienne W vs Thonon Evian W

2:2

Nov 26, 2022 Seconde Ligue Women

Thonon Evian W vs St Etienne W

0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thonon Evian W 10 / 100

St Etienne W 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Thonon Evian W St Etienne W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Etienne W Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thonon Evian W's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

St Etienne W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Thonon Evian W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thonon Evian W VS St Etienne W

2.63 Goals Scored 1.25

2 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 25%

50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Thonon Evian W

(Home)

26 Sept

Marseille W

6 : 1

Thonon Evian W

19 Sept

Thonon Evian W

1 : 2

Metz W

06 Sept

Thonon Evian W

1 : 1

St Etienne W

29 Aug

Thonon Evian W

1 : 0

Toulouse W

22 Aug

Cannes W

4 : 5

Thonon Evian W

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St Etienne W

(Away)

26 Sept

St Etienne W

2 : 0

Nantes W

20 Sept

Bourges 18 W

0 : 3

St Etienne W

13 Sept

St Etienne W

1 : 1

Le Mans W

06 Sept

Thonon Evian W

1 : 1

St Etienne W

22 Aug

St Etienne W

4 : 2

Roubaix W

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