Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thor Akureyri vs Breidablik

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Thorsvollur, Akureyri
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Sub
Einarsson V. In: Steindorsson K.
Out: Einarsson V.
42' Event
Jakobsen C.
45'
Karlsson H.

AI Match Summary

Thor Akureyri in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thor Akureyri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Thor Akureyri
30%
Draws
39%
Breidablik
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Breidablik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Thor Akureyri haven't matched Breidablik's recent run of results.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Breidablik taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Thor Akureyri Clean Sheet 10%
Breidablik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thor Akureyri Breidablik
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.89 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2026 Besta deild karla
Thor Akureyri vs Breidablik
1:0
Apr 27, 2026 Besta deild karla
Breidablik vs Thor Akureyri
4:0
Mar 14, 2024 League Cup
Thor Akureyri vs Breidablik
0:1
Mar 6, 2022 League Cup
Thor Akureyri vs Breidablik
1:2
Sep 28, 2014 Besta deild karla
Thor Akureyri vs Breidablik
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thor Akureyri Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakobsen C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Breidablik Compare

Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thor Akureyri 26 / 100
Breidablik 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thor Akureyri Breidablik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Thor Akureyri scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Breidablik conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Thor Akureyri went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thor Akureyri VS Breidablik
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thor Akureyri

(Home)
04 Aug
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0
Breidablik
27 Jul
KA Akureyri
0 : 0
Thor Akureyri
18 Jul
Thor Akureyri
2 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
12 Jul
Fram
6 : 1
Thor Akureyri
02 Jul
Thor Akureyri
3 : 3
KR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6

Breidablik

(Away)
04 Aug
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0
Breidablik
27 Jul
Breidablik
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
20 Jul
Hafnarfjordur
0 : 0
Breidablik
13 Jul
Breidablik
2 : 1
Keflavik
04 Jul
Akranes
1 : 2
Breidablik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 18 14 3 1 58:16 45
2 KR Reykjavik 18 12 3 3 64:39 39
3 Fram 18 11 4 3 45:34 37
4 Breidablik 18 8 5 5 36:30 29
5 Valur 18 7 1 10 31:36 22
6 Akranes 18 6 4 8 30:36 22
7 Keflavik 18 6 4 8 28:34 22
8 Stjarnan 18 6 3 9 33:43 21
9 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 18 4 5 9 29:38 17
10 Hafnarfjordur 18 3 8 7 22:32 17
11 KA Akureyri 18 4 3 11 24:36 15
12 Thor Akureyri 18 4 3 11 18:44 15
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)