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Thor Akureyri vs Breidablik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Thorsvollur, Akureyri
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Sub
Einarsson V. In: Steindorsson K.
Out: Einarsson V.
42' Event
Jakobsen C.
45'
Karlsson H.

AI Match Summary

Thor Akureyri in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thor Akureyri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Thor Akureyri
15%
Draws
42%
Breidablik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thor Akureyri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Thor Akureyri haven't matched Breidablik's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Thor Akureyri Clean Sheet 16%
Breidablik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thor Akureyri Breidablik
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 3 6
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.31 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2026 Besta deild karla
Thor Akureyri vs Breidablik
1:0
Apr 27, 2026 Besta deild karla
Breidablik vs Thor Akureyri
4:0
Mar 14, 2024 League Cup
Thor Akureyri vs Breidablik
0:1
Mar 6, 2022 League Cup
Thor Akureyri vs Breidablik
1:2
Sep 28, 2014 Besta deild karla
Thor Akureyri vs Breidablik
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thor Akureyri Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakobsen C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Breidablik Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thor Akureyri 36 / 100
Breidablik 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thor Akureyri Breidablik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Breidablik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Thor Akureyri scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Breidablik conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Breidablik lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thor Akureyri VS Breidablik
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thor Akureyri

(Home)
19 Sept
KA Akureyri
3 : 0
Thor Akureyri
13 Sept
Valur
4 : 1
Thor Akureyri
06 Sept
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
29 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0 : 1
Thor Akureyri
23 Aug
Stjarnan
4 : 2
Thor Akureyri
Page 1 of 6

Breidablik

(Away)
20 Sept
Akranes
4 : 1
Breidablik
15 Sept
Fram
1 : 3
Breidablik
11 Sept
Afturelding
1 : 2
Breidablik
06 Sept
KA Akureyri
2 : 1
Breidablik
31 Aug
Breidablik
0 : 2
Stjarnan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)