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Thor Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik Prediction & H2H Stats

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Thorsvollur, Akureyri
Thor Akureyri Logo

Thor Akureyri

3 - 3
FT
KR Reykjavik Logo

KR Reykjavik

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Hlynsson A.
10' Event
Halldorsson E.
13' Event
Stefansson A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between Thor Akureyri and KR Reykjavik finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Thor Akureyri
15%
Draws
46%
KR Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KR Reykjavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KR Reykjavik come out ahead of Thor Akureyri on wins alone.
  • Model gives KR Reykjavik a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Thor Akureyri Clean Sheet 10%
KR Reykjavik Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thor Akureyri KR Reykjavik
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 17
Draws 3 5
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.31 3.38
Goals Conceded 2.28 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Besta deild karla
Thor Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik
3:3
Apr 17, 2026 Besta deild karla
KR Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri
5:2
Mar 2, 2024 League Cup
Thor Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik
4:0
Feb 27, 2021 League Cup
Thor Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik
0:4
Apr 9, 2017 League Cup
KR Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thor Akureyri Compare

Top Goalscorer Hlynsson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Halldorsson E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

KR Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Gudmundsson G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eyjolfsson G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thor Akureyri 10 / 100
KR Reykjavik 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thor Akureyri KR Reykjavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KR Reykjavik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KR Reykjavik let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Thor Akureyri's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Thor Akureyri has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thor Akureyri VS KR Reykjavik
0.75 Goals Scored 3.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Thor Akureyri

(Home)
19 Sept
KA Akureyri
3 : 0
Thor Akureyri
13 Sept
Valur
4 : 1
Thor Akureyri
06 Sept
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
29 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0 : 1
Thor Akureyri
23 Aug
Stjarnan
4 : 2
Thor Akureyri
Page 1 of 6

KR Reykjavik

(Away)
19 Sept
KR Reykjavik
1 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik
13 Sept
KR Reykjavik
5 : 1
Akranes
06 Sept
Akranes
3 : 1
KR Reykjavik
01 Sept
KR Reykjavik
1 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
23 Aug
KA Akureyri
3 : 5
KR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)