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Thor Akureyri vs Moss

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Thor Akureyri and Moss finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thor Akureyri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Thor Akureyri
17%
Draws
13%
Moss
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Thor Akureyri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Thor Akureyri come out ahead of Moss on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Thor Akureyri taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Thor Akureyri Clean Sheet 10%
Moss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thor Akureyri Moss
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Thor Akureyri vs Moss
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thor Akureyri 65 / 100
Moss 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thor Akureyri Moss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moss has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Moss lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Thor Akureyri's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Thor Akureyri VS Moss
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Thor Akureyri

(Home)
27 Jul
KA Akureyri
0 : 0
Thor Akureyri
18 Jul
Thor Akureyri
2 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
12 Jul
Fram
6 : 1
Thor Akureyri
02 Jul
Thor Akureyri
3 : 3
KR Reykjavik
28 Jun
Thor Akureyri
2 : 4
Valur
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Moss

(Away)
02 Aug
Hodd
2 : 1
Moss
26 Jul
Moss
1 : 2
Raufoss
04 Jul
Egersund
3 : 0
Moss
27 Jun
Strommen
3 : 2
Moss
21 Jun
Moss
1 : 4
Sandnes Ulf
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