Sport Picks
Thor Akureyri vs Stjarnan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iceland
Besta deild karla Thorsvollur, Akureyri 
Match Events
8'
8'
Hlynsson A.
Assist: Jakobsen C.
13'
13'
Sub
Sigurjonsson A. In: Gunnarsson S.
Out: Sigurjonsson A.
14'
14'
Gunnarsson S.
AI Match Summary
Stjarnan in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stjarnan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stjarnan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Stjarnan have won more games recently than Thor Akureyri.
- Win probability leans Stjarnan's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Thor Akureyri Clean Sheet 13%
Stjarnan Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Thor Akureyri | Stjarnan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.28 | 2.22 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Besta deild karla
Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri
4:2
May 31, 2026 Besta deild karla
Thor Akureyri vs Stjarnan
1:3
Jun 12, 2024 Icelandic Cup
Thor Akureyri vs Stjarnan
0:1
Feb 18, 2024 League Cup
Thor Akureyri vs Stjarnan
5:1
Feb 19, 2022 League Cup
Thor Akureyri vs Stjarnan
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Thor Akureyri Compare
Top Goalscorer Hlynsson A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Stjarnan Compare
Top Goalscorer Matthiasson D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Atlason E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Thor Akureyri 11 / 100
Stjarnan 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Thor Akureyri Stjarnan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stjarnan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stjarnan has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Thor Akureyri scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Thor Akureyri has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Thor Akureyri VS Stjarnan
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Thor Akureyri
(Home) 19 Sept
KA Akureyri
3 : 0 Thor Akureyri
13 Sept
Valur
4 : 1 Thor Akureyri
06 Sept
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0 Hafnarfjordur
29 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0 : 1 Thor Akureyri
23 Aug
Stjarnan
4 : 2 Thor Akureyri
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0 Hafnarfjordur
15 Aug
Thor Akureyri
0 : 2 Keflavik
04 Aug
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0 Breidablik
18 Jul
Thor Akureyri
2 : 1 Vikingur Reykjavik
02 Jul
Thor Akureyri
3 : 3 KR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 3
Stjarnan
(Away) 20 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
5 : 2 Stjarnan
13 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 0 IBV Vestmannaeyjar
06 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar
31 Aug
Breidablik
0 : 2 Stjarnan
23 Aug
Stjarnan
4 : 2 Thor Akureyri
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
5 : 2 Stjarnan
31 Aug
Breidablik
0 : 2 Stjarnan
17 Aug
Fram
3 : 1 Stjarnan
03 Aug
Valur
2 : 3 Stjarnan
30 Jul
Ilves
3 : 1 Stjarnan
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 67:21 | 53 |
| 2 | Fram | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 56:42 | 45 |
| 3 | KR Reykjavik | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 74:49 | 44 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 43:41 | 30 |
| 5 | Akranes | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 39:41 | 30 |
| 6 | Keflavik | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 33:38 | 28 |
| 7 | Stjarnan | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 42:50 | 28 |
| 8 | Valur | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 39:45 | 27 |
| 9 | Hafnarfjordur | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 27:39 | 21 |
| 10 | Thor Akureyri | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 22:50 | 21 |
| 11 | KA Akureyri | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 35:48 | 20 |
| 12 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 32:45 | 18 |
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)
